EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over LKQ overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LKQ

LKQ Corporation

28
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

LKQ trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

LKQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LKQ's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LKQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.2x$19.71—
Cheap13x$12.47-37%
Fair14x$13.82-30%
Expensive18x$17.41-12%
Current20x$19.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LKQ has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LKQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LKQ's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LKQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LKQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$21.45
Downside-59%$8.06

Calculated from the latest close: $19.71 on Nov 12.

LKQ trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+117%
Q3 2026$0.99-63%
Q2 2026$1.79-34%
Q1 2026$2.01-25%
Q4 2025$2.35-10%
Q3 2025$2.70+1.1%
Q2 2025$2.73+0.4%
Q1 2025$2.68-13%
Q4 2024$2.62-25%

LKQ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.99 over the past year, against $4.21 in mid-2022.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-5.1%
Q2 2026$3.4B-6.4%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.2%
Q4 2025$3.3B-1.3%
Q3 2025$3.5B-2.4%
Q2 2025$3.6B-1.9%
Q1 2025$3.5B-6.5%
Q4 2024$3.4B-4.1%

LKQ's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $3.3B last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$372M-3.9%
Q2 2026$60M-75%
Q1 2026-$96M-$39M
Q4 2025$274M+84%
Q3 2025$387M+13%
Q2 2025$243M+83%
Q1 2025-$57M-130%
Q4 2024$149M+71%

LKQ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $610M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LKQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.7%-4.4M shares
3 years-5.8%-15.5M shares
5 years-14%-42M shares
Available history-19%-58.1M shares

LKQ has 253M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $123M in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

LKQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

LKQ has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

LKQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

LKQ's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LKQ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLKQSector medianRelative
PE20x18x11% above
PE %914744 pts above

LKQ has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LKQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.75% below
20 week MA$23.315% below
50 week MA$27.328% below
100 week MA$31.738% below
200 week MA$40.051% below

LKQ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over LKQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LKQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.9$36.3+1.1%
2021$36.3$57.7+59%
2022$57.7$53.6-7.1%
2023$53.6$47.8-11%
2024$47.8$36.9-23%
2025$36.9$30.6-17%
2026 YTD$30.6$19.7-36%

LKQ has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 36% so far in 2026.

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