EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over LI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

LI

Li Auto Inc.

41
Fundamentals18/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

LI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

LI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Strong

LI's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

LI PE Valuation

LI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

LI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LI has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails LI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$15.38
Downside-23%$8.99

Calculated from the latest close: $11.69 on Nov 12.

LI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over LI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.89Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.42Q3 2024: $1.42Q4 2024: $1.12Q1 2025: $1.12Q2 2025: $1.12Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $-0.28Q2 2026: $-0.69
Q3 2023: $0.89Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.60Q2 2024: $1.42Q3 2024: $1.42Q4 2024: $1.12Q1 2025: $1.12Q2 2025: $1.12Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $-0.28Q2 2026: $-0.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.69-162%
Q1 2026-$0.28-125%
Q4 2025$0.15-87%
Q3 2025$0.63-56%
Q2 2025$1.12-21%
Q1 2025$1.12-30%
Q4 2024$1.12-32%
Q3 2024$1.42+60%

LI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over LI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $5.2BQ4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.3BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.8B
Q3 2023: $5.2BQ4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.3BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.8B-16%
Q1 2026$3.4B-12%
Q4 2025$4.3B-32%
Q3 2025$4.1B-37%
Q2 2025$4.6B-4.1%
Q1 2025$3.9B+1.4%
Q4 2024$6.3B+2.6%
Q3 2024$6.5B+24%

LI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $3.8B last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over LI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2BQ4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$759MQ2 2024: −$535MQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $909MQ1 2025: −$220MQ2 2025: −$701MQ3 2025: −$953MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$195M
Q3 2023: $2BQ4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$759MQ2 2024: −$535MQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $909MQ1 2025: −$220MQ2 2025: −$701MQ3 2025: −$953MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$195M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$195.2M+$505.8M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$888.5M
Q4 2025$142.7M-84%
Q3 2025-$952.9M-170%
Q2 2025-$701M-$165.9M
Q1 2025-$220.2M+$538.4M
Q4 2024$909.3M-59%
Q3 2024$1.4B-32%

LI's free cash flow was −$2.1B over the past year, against $1.3B the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

LI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-6.7M shares
1 year-6%-64.2M shares
3 years-4.4%-46.3M shares
5 years+11%+102M shares
Available history+11%+102M shares

LI has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

LI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -8.2xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: -5.2xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -9.2x
Q3 2023: -8.2xQ4 2023: -6.3xQ1 2024: -6.0xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: -5.2xQ4 2024: -4.0xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.8xNet Cash

LI has more cash than debt.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

LI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

LI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

LI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over LI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.52% above
20 week MA$12.02.9% below
50 week MA$15.022% below
100 week MA$20.041% below
200 week MA$24.452% below

LI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over LI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$29.3+83%
2021$29.3$30.4+3.8%
2022$30.4$18.8-38%
2023$18.8$37.4+99%
2024$37.4$25.5-32%
2025$25.5$17.4-32%
2026 YTD$17.4$11.7-33%

LI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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