EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over INSE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INSE

Inspired Entertainment, Inc.

46
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

INSE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

INSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

INSE's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

INSE PE Valuation

INSE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over INSE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

INSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect INSE's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails INSE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$6.45
Downside-32%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $4.39 on Nov 12.

INSE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over INSE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INSE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.11Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $2.22Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $-0.58Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $0.26Q1 2024: $0.11Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.01Q4 2024: $2.22Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.89Q4 2025: $-0.58Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.25-113%
Q2 2026-$0.32-115%
Q1 2026-$0.60-125%
Q4 2025-$0.58-126%
Q3 2025$1.89+$1.90
Q2 2025$2.08+$2.09
Q1 2025$2.42+2100%
Q4 2024$2.22+754%

INSE has swung to a loss: it lost $0.25 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over INSE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INSE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$61.4M-29%
Q2 2026$60.8M-24%
Q1 2026$57.2M-5.3%
Q4 2025$77.2M-4%
Q3 2025$86.2M+11%
Q2 2025$80.3M+6.2%
Q1 2025$60.4M-4.3%
Q4 2024$80.4M-1%

INSE's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $61M last quarter, down 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

INSE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$800,000Q2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $100,000Q3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$800,000Q2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $100,000Q3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.4M+281%
Q2 2026$100K-98%
Q1 2026$23M+41%
Q4 2025-$9.9M-719%
Q3 2025$4.3M-81%
Q2 2025$5.6M+$14.2M
Q1 2025$16.3M+$17.1M
Q4 2024$1.6M+$4.1M

INSE still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $30M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over INSE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INSE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-595K shares
1 year-1.4%-413K shares
3 years-1.5%-423K shares
5 years+11%+2.9M shares
Available history+31%+6.8M shares

INSE has 29M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over INSE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INSE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.8xElevated

INSE's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

INSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic21.2Neutral

INSE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

INSE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricINSESector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

INSE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over INSE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.7417% above
20 week MA$5.2617% below
50 week MA$6.9036% below
100 week MA$7.7643% below
200 week MA$9.3153% below

INSE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 53% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over INSE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

INSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.90$6.84-0.9%
2021$6.84$12.2+78%
2022$12.2$12.9+5.9%
2023$12.9$9.88-23%
2024$9.88$8.90-9.9%
2025$8.90$9.51+6.9%
2026 YTD$9.51$4.39-54%

INSE has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 54% so far in 2026.

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