EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HTHT
H World Group Limited
HTHT has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
HTHT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
HTHT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
HTHT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $45.91 | -8.1% |
| Current | 21x | $49.95 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $54.62 | +9.3% |
| Expensive | 73x | $172 | +244% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HTHT has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
HTHT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HTHT, with profitability holding steady.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
HTHT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.34 | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.33 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.37 | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.85 | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.76 | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.54 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.43 | -24% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.76 | +16% |
HTHT has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over HTHT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HTHT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $894.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $965.7M | +6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $964.4M | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $809.6M | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $903.9M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $966.8M | +2.4% |
HTHT's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 31% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | -3.6 points |
HTHT has the edge over EBAY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
HTHT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $481.3M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.6M | -85% |
| Q4 2025 | $473.3M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $224.1M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $370.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $51M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $391.1M | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | $212.8M | +44% |
HTHT has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over HTHT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
HTHT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -3% | -10.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.6% | -2.1M shares |
| Available history | +6.9% | +21M shares |
HTHT has 325M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $325M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $275.7M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $49.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $450,214 |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $64.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
| Q3 2024 | $71.3M |
HTHT spent $325M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over HTHT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HTHT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 4.2x | High |
HTHT's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
HTHT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
HTHT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HTHT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HTHT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 18% above |
| PE % | 30 | 47 | 17 pts below |
HTHT has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
HTHT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.2 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.5 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.3 | 5.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $41.5 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.0 | 25% above |
HTHT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over HTHT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HTHT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.5 | $44.4 | +7% |
| 2021 | $44.4 | $37.3 | -16% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $41.7 | +12% |
| 2023 | $41.7 | $33.4 | -20% |
| 2024 | $33.4 | $33.4 | -0.1% |
| 2025 | $33.4 | $48.5 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $48.5 | $50.0 | +3% |
HTHT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 3% so far in 2026.