EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HSAI

Hesai Group

62
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

HSAI has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

HSAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Healthy

HSAI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

HSAI PE Valuation

HSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

HSAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

HSAI has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails HSAI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HSAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$23.42
Downside-39%$8.67

Calculated from the latest close: $14.17 on Nov 12.

HSAI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

HSAI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.57Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.55Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.48
Q3 2023: $-0.57Q4 2023: $-0.57Q1 2024: $-0.55Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.48+336%
Q1 2026$0.47+$0.49
Q4 2025$0.43+$0.56
Q3 2025$0.46+$0.92
Q2 2025$0.11+$0.66
Q1 2025-$0.02+$0.53
Q4 2024-$0.13+$0.44
Q3 2024-$0.46+$0.11

HSAI has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

HSAI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $67MQ4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $150MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $129M
Q3 2023: $67MQ4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $150MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $129M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$129.2M+22%
Q1 2026$102.1M+30%
Q4 2025$150.1M+39%
Q3 2025$119.4M+47%
Q2 2025$106M+54%
Q1 2025$78.8M+46%
Q4 2024$108M+28%
Q3 2024$81M+21%

HSAI has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over HSAI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HSAI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

HSAI's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over HSAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HSAI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 126MQ4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 131MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 163MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 163M
Q3 2023: 126MQ4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 127MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 136MQ1 2025: 131MQ2 2025: 139MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 163MQ1 2026: 163MQ2 2026: 163M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+17%+24M shares
3 years+30%+37.5M shares
5 years+69%+66.7M shares
Available history+84%+74.6M shares

HSAI has 163M diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

HSAI Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -58.4xQ2 2025: -9.7xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -58.4xQ2 2025: -9.7xQ3 2025: -3.2xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-58.4xNet Cash

HSAI has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

HSAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic20.8Neutral

HSAI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

HSAI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHSAISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

HSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has stronger trend alignment. EBAY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus HSAI above 0 of 4.

HSAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.20.4% below
20 week MA$16.012% below
50 week MA$20.029% below
100 week MA$19.828% below

HSAI is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 100-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over HSAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HSAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$22.2$8.91-60%
2024$8.91$13.5+52%
2025$13.5$22.5+67%
2026 YTD$22.5$14.2-37%

HSAI is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in two of the previous three years.

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