EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has the edge over HNST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HNST
The Honest Company, Inc.
HNST offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
HNST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
HNST's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
HNST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7x | $4.80 | — |
| Cheap | 41x | $28.21 | +488% |
| Fair | 45x | $31.17 | +549% |
| Forward | 60x | $4.80 | — |
| Expensive | 78x | $53.97 | +1024% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HNST has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
HNST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HNST's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
HNST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.08 | -88% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.69 | +1050% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.11 | -320% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.17 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.14 | -$0.08 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.06 | +$0.10 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.02 | +$0.21 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.06 | +$0.36 |
HNST's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in six years: $0.69 over the past year, up from $0.06 the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over HNST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over HNST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HNST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $84.6M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $78.1M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $88M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $92.6M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $93.5M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $97.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $99.8M | +11% |
HNST's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, down 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4% | +1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +8.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -27% | -26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6% | +4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1% | -2.3 points |
HNST's operating margin was 1.4% last quarter, up 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over HNST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HNST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -$4.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +$32.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8M | +$6.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $18.1M | +$35.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$624K | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | -$826K | -128% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3M | -1254% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.2M | -278% |
HNST's free cash flow has turned positive again: $49M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over HNST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
HNST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -627K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -1.2M shares |
| 3 years | +18% | +17.3M shares |
| 5 years | +65% | +44.4M shares |
| Available history | +29% | +25.3M shares |
HNST has 112M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
HNST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -9.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -218.7x | Net Cash |
HNST has more cash than debt.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
HNST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.6 | Neutral |
HNST's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HNST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HNST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7x | 18x | 61% below |
| PE % | 3 | 53 | 50 pts below |
HNST has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over HNST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HNST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.87 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.79 | 0.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.69 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.19 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.54 | 36% above |
HNST's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 36% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.
HNST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.1 | $8.07 | -58% |
| 2022 | $8.07 | $2.97 | -63% |
| 2023 | $2.97 | $3.30 | +11% |
| 2024 | $3.30 | $6.93 | +110% |
| 2025 | $6.93 | $2.71 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.71 | $4.80 | +77% |
HNST has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.