EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
HGV has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
HGV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
HGV's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
HGV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.5x | $43.92 | — |
| Forward | 9.5x | $43.92 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $65.69 | +50% |
| Fair | 20x | $104 | +138% |
| Expensive | 80x | $411 | +837% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HGV has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
EBAY has the edge over HGV on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
HGV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HGV's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
HGV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -10% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.17 | +840% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.75 | +218% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.85 | +478% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +98% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.55 | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.55 | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.32 | -85% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.45 | -84% |
HGV's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $5.17 over the past year, up from $0.55 the year before.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over HGV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HGV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +26% |
HGV's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.3% | -3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -4.2 points |
HGV has the edge over EBAY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
HGV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73M | +462% |
| Q2 2026 | $131M | +185% |
| Q1 2026 | $122M | +408% |
| Q4 2025 | $147M | +63% |
| Q3 2025 | $13M | -84% |
| Q2 2025 | $46M | -57% |
| Q1 2025 | $24M | +$34M |
| Q4 2024 | $90M | +$103M |
HGV has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
HGV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.8% | -2.3M shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -11.5M shares |
| 3 years | -29% | -32.3M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -30.5M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -10.7M shares |
HGV has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $110M |
| Q2 2026 | $150M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $150M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
| Q4 2024 | $125M |
HGV spent $560M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 2.6% from the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY has the edge over HGV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HGV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
HGV's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
HGV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
HGV's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
HGV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HGV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 3 | 47 | 44 pts below |
HGV has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over HGV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HGV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.9 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.7 | 1.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $43.0 | 2.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 3.4% above |
HGV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.4% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over HGV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HGV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.5 | $30.5 | -12% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $51.2 | +68% |
| 2022 | $51.2 | $39.0 | -24% |
| 2023 | $39.0 | $40.2 | +3.2% |
| 2024 | $40.2 | $39.6 | -1.4% |
| 2025 | $39.6 | $45.2 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.2 | $43.9 | -2.9% |
HGV has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.9% so far in 2026.