EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over GRBK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

GRBK

Green Brick Partners, Inc.

41
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

GRBK offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GRBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

GRBK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GRBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.7x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.7x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.1x$38.15-37%
Fair8.9x$55.06-9.6%
Current9.8x$60.92—
Expensive10x$64.66+6.1%
Forward11x$60.92—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GRBK has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

GRBK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GRBK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GRBK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GRBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$73.68
Downside-34%$40.15

Calculated from the latest close: $60.92 on Nov 12.

GRBK trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.14Q1 2024: $6.59Q2 2024: $7.28Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.30Q2 2025: $7.83Q3 2025: $7.62Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $6.64Q3 2026: $6.22Forward: $5.30
Q4 2023: $6.14Q1 2024: $6.59Q2 2024: $7.28Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.30Q2 2025: $7.83Q3 2025: $7.62Q4 2025: $7.07Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $6.64Q3 2026: $6.22Forward: $5.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.30-15%
Q3 2026$6.22-18%
Q2 2026$6.64-15%
Q1 2026$6.79-18%
Q4 2025$7.07-16%
Q3 2025$7.62-1%
Q2 2025$7.83+7.6%
Q1 2025$8.30+26%
Q4 2024$8.45+38%

GRBK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.22 over the past year, against $8.45 in late 2024.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $450MQ1 2024: $447MQ2 2024: $561MQ3 2024: $524MQ4 2024: $567MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $499MQ4 2025: $537MQ1 2026: $465MQ2 2026: $494MQ3 2026: $448M
Q4 2023: $450MQ1 2024: $447MQ2 2024: $561MQ3 2024: $524MQ4 2024: $567MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $499MQ4 2025: $537MQ1 2026: $465MQ2 2026: $494MQ3 2026: $448M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$448.2M-10%
Q2 2026$493.8M-10%
Q1 2026$465.5M-6.5%
Q4 2025$536.8M-5.4%
Q3 2025$499.1M-4.7%
Q2 2025$549.1M-2%
Q1 2025$497.6M+11%
Q4 2024$567.3M+26%

GRBK's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $448M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GRBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $75,000Q2 2024: $780,000Q3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $74MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$54M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $75,000Q2 2024: $780,000Q3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $68MQ2 2025: $74MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$53.7M-$41.7M
Q2 2026-$9.8M-113%
Q1 2026$55M-19%
Q4 2025$78.4M+180%
Q3 2025-$12M-$4.7M
Q2 2025$74M+9391%
Q1 2025$68M+90612%
Q4 2024$28.1M+$50.4M

GRBK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$54M, but it generated $70M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GRBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-75K shares
1 year-1%-428K shares
3 years-5.7%-2.6M shares
5 years-15%-7.9M shares
Available history-15%-7.4M shares

GRBK has 43M diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $58M in buybacks over the past year.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

GRBK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

GRBK has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

GRBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

GRBK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GRBK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGRBKSector medianRelative
PE9.8x18x46% below
PE %744727 pts above

GRBK has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GRBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.84.5% below
20 week MA$68.711% below
50 week MA$68.912% below
100 week MA$65.87.4% below
200 week MA$59.81.8% above

GRBK has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 1.8% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over GRBK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GRBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.4$24.3+113%
2021$24.3$29.9+23%
2022$29.9$24.3-19%
2023$24.3$51.9+114%
2024$51.9$56.4+8.7%
2025$56.4$63.8+13%
2026 YTD$63.8$60.9-4.5%

GRBK has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.

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