EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over GPI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

GPI

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

45
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

GPI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.3x12x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$162-37%
Forward7x$257—
Current8.1x$257—
Fair8.2x$261+1.5%
Expensive12x$383+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GPI has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over GPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GPI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$314.10
Downside-21%$204.52

Calculated from the latest close: $257.29 on Nov 12.

GPI trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over GPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $42.73Q1 2024: $42.43Q2 2024: $40.56Q3 2024: $37.60Q4 2024: $36.81Q1 2025: $35.68Q2 2025: $36.33Q3 2025: $28.64Q4 2025: $25.24Q1 2026: $26.42Q2 2026: $24.24Q3 2026: $31.83Forward: $36.79
Q4 2023: $42.73Q1 2024: $42.43Q2 2024: $40.56Q3 2024: $37.60Q4 2024: $36.81Q1 2025: $35.68Q2 2025: $36.33Q3 2025: $28.64Q4 2025: $25.24Q1 2026: $26.42Q2 2026: $24.24Q3 2026: $31.83Forward: $36.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$36.79+16%
Q3 2026$31.83+11%
Q2 2026$24.24-33%
Q1 2026$26.42-26%
Q4 2025$25.24-31%
Q3 2025$28.64-24%
Q2 2025$36.33-10%
Q1 2025$35.68-16%
Q4 2024$36.81-14%

GPI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $31.83 over the past year, against $47.14 in late 2022.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over GPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.4BQ3 2026: $5.4B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $5.5BQ2 2025: $5.7BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.4BQ3 2026: $5.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.4B-6.7%
Q2 2026$5.4B-5.6%
Q1 2026$5.4B-1.8%
Q4 2025$5.6B+0.6%
Q3 2025$5.8B+11%
Q2 2025$5.7B+21%
Q1 2025$5.5B+23%
Q4 2024$5.5B+24%

GPI's revenue has held roughly level: $5.4B last quarter, down 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over GPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$250MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: −$164MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $147M
Q4 2023: −$250MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: −$164MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $107MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $51MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$146.7M+69%
Q2 2026$19.8M-89%
Q1 2026$8.4M-92%
Q4 2025$51.4M-57%
Q3 2025$86.7M-55%
Q2 2025$179.9M+$343.7M
Q1 2025$106.5M-44%
Q4 2024$120.1M+$370.4M

GPI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $226M over the past year.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

GPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+32.9K shares
1 year-7.2%-920K shares
3 years-13%-1.8M shares
5 years-33%-6M shares
Available history-34%-6.1M shares

GPI has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

GPI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20221.7xHealthy
Q2 20221.7xHealthy
Q1 20221.8xHealthy
Q4 20212.1xModerate
Q3 20211.2xHealthy
Q2 20211.4xHealthy
Q1 20212.0xHealthy
Q4 20202.3xModerate

GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

GPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic36.1Neutral

GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGPISector medianRelative
PE8.1x18x55% below
PE %48471 pt above

GPI has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over GPI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$250.12.9% above
20 week MA$270.75% below
50 week MA$317.419% below
100 week MA$373.731% below
200 week MA$329.922% below

GPI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 22% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over GPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.8$118.8+18%
2021$118.8$188.0+58%
2022$188.0$174.6-7.1%
2023$174.6$304.7+75%
2024$304.7$423.1+39%
2025$423.1$407.6-3.7%
2026 YTD$407.6$257.3-37%

GPI is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key