EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has a slight edge over GOOS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

GOOS

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

55
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GOOS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

GOOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

GOOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$8.28—
Cheap23x$8.92+7.8%
Fair32x$12.21+48%
Expensive72x$27.34+230%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOS has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

GOOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails GOOS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$10.78
Downside-23%$6.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

GOOS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.38+15%
Q1 2026$0.14-79%
Q4 2025$0.14-73%
Q3 2025$0.18-57%
Q2 2025$0.33-20%
Q1 2025$0.67+60%
Q4 2024$0.51+42%
Q3 2024$0.42+17%

GOOS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.38 over the past year, against $1.01 in late 2019.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$83.6M+10%
Q1 2026$319.5M+18%
Q4 2025$488.3M+14%
Q3 2025$191.6M+1.8%
Q2 2025$75.8M+22%
Q1 2025$270.4M+7.4%
Q4 2024$427.4M-0.3%
Q3 2024$188.3M-4.7%

GOOS's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $84M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$137.4M-$36.1M
Q1 2026$45.8M-52%
Q4 2025$225.3M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$87.9M+$14.1M
Q2 2025-$101.3M+$703K
Q1 2025$94.7M+147%
Q4 2024$237.7M+1.5%
Q3 2024-$102.1M-$43.6M

GOOS has burned cash in most quarters: $46M over the past year, down 65% from the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-0.9%-840K shares
3 years-6.2%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-13.2M shares
Available history-12%-13.5M shares

GOOS has 97M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20242.9xModerate

GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

GOOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic47.3Neutral

GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGOOSSector medianRelative
PE22x18x21% above
PE %104737 pts below

GOOS has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GOOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.062.7% above
20 week MA$8.472.2% below
50 week MA$10.320% below
100 week MA$10.823% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GOOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 33% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over GOOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GOOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.6$30.9-18%
2021$30.9$37.3+21%
2022$37.3$17.3-54%
2023$17.3$11.9-32%
2024$11.9$9.98-16%
2025$9.98$12.8+28%
2026 YTD$12.8$8.28-35%

GOOS has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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