EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
FIVE
Five Below, Inc.
FIVE has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
FIVE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
FIVE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
FIVE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 22x | $247 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $252 | +2.1% |
| Forward | 24x | $247 | — |
| Fair | 35x | $390 | +58% |
| Expensive | 49x | $546 | +121% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
FIVE has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
FIVE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FIVE, with profitability improving.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
FIVE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.31 | -7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.15 | +126% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.93 | +66% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.57 | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.94 | -2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.77 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.59 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.85 | +0.2% |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY's operating margin was 19% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FIVE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $970.5M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $843.7M | +15% |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +4.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.1% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1% | -2.3 points |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
FIVE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $142.3M | +195% |
| Q2 2026 | $190M | +97% |
| Q1 2026 | $400.1M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | -$133.2M | -$22.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $48.3M | +$80.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $96.5M | +$157.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $311.4M | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | -$111M | +$81.9M |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over FIVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
FIVE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -133K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +85.1K shares |
| 3 years | -0.6% | -327K shares |
| 5 years | -1.5% | -825K shares |
| Available history | -1% | -545K shares |
FIVE has 55M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $13,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $10.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $30.2M |
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
FIVE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
FIVE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.1 | Neutral |
FIVE's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
FIVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | FIVE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 23% above |
| PE % | 16 | 47 | 31 pts below |
FIVE has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.
FIVE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $229.1 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $227.0 | 8.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $215.4 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $166.0 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $162.4 | 52% above |
FIVE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over FIVE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
FIVE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $125.4 | $158.9 | +27% |
| 2021 | $158.9 | $193.6 | +22% |
| 2022 | $193.6 | $174.8 | -9.7% |
| 2023 | $174.8 | $213.2 | +22% |
| 2024 | $213.2 | $109.2 | -49% |
| 2025 | $109.2 | $189.9 | +74% |
| 2026 YTD | $189.9 | $247.2 | +30% |
FIVE has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 30% so far in 2026.