EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
EYE has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
EYE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
EYE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
EYE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $18.57 | — |
| Current | 23x | $18.57 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $22.52 | +21% |
| Fair | 50x | $40.68 | +119% |
| Expensive | 103x | $83.20 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EYE has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
EYE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect EYE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
EYE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.16 | +44% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.81 | +$0.84 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.61 | +$0.79 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.57 | +$0.90 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.37 | +$0.73 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.03 | +$0.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.18 | +$0.84 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.33 | +$0.58 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.36 | +$0.48 |
EYE has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over EYE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over EYE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EYE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $510.5M | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $498.8M | +2.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $543.9M | +6.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $503.4M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $487.3M | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $486.4M | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $510.3M | -5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $437.3M | -14% |
EYE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $511M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8% | -3.2 points |
EYE's operating margin was 6.1% last quarter, up 4.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.
EYE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.3M | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | -$14.1M | -133% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.1M | +267% |
| Q4 2025 | -$11.2M | -$9.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +647% |
| Q2 2025 | $42.4M | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $12M | +202% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.7M | +$11.3M |
EYE has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over EYE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
EYE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -533K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +2.4% | +1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -16.4M shares |
| Available history | -2.1% | -1.7M shares |
EYE has 80M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $53M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $650,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $876,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $55,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $273,000 |
EYE spent $53M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
EYE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
EYE has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
EYE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.1 | Neutral |
EYE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EYE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EYE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 27% above |
| PE % | 7 | 47 | 40 pts below |
EYE has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over EYE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
EYE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.4 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.4 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.0 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.5 | 9.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 5.6% below |
EYE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 5.6% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over EYE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EYE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.1 | $47.3 | +43% |
| 2021 | $47.3 | $47.8 | +1.1% |
| 2022 | $47.8 | $38.7 | -19% |
| 2023 | $38.7 | $20.9 | -46% |
| 2024 | $20.9 | $10.6 | -49% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $28.0 | +165% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.0 | $18.6 | -34% |
EYE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +165% in 2025 to −49% in 2024. It's down 34% so far in 2026.