EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 26x earnings, above its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ECX

ECARX Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ECX yet.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ECX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

ECX's profitability is currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120โ€”
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ECX PE Valuation

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

ECX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ECX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare EBAY and ECX's risk to reward.

ECX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.82 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare EBAY and ECX's risk to reward.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over ECX in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ECX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
Q4 2021: $-4.58Q4 2022: $-1.19Q4 2023: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q4 2025: $-0.20Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61โ€”
Q4 2025-$0.20+$0.22
Q4 2024-$0.42$0.00
Q4 2023-$0.42+$0.77
Q4 2022-$1.19+$3.39

ECX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.20 per share over the past year, against $4.58 at its worst in late 2021.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over ECX in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ECX Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
Q1 2021: $81MQ2 2021: $81MQ3 2021: $127MQ4 2021: $127MQ4 2022: $534MQ4 2023: $700MQ2 2024: $329MQ4 2024: $505MQ2 2025: $323MQ4 2025: $525M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$524.6M+3.8%
Q2 2025$323.3M-1.9%
Q4 2024$505.1M-28%
Q4 2023$700.3M+31%
Q4 2022$533.8M+320%

ECX's revenue is growing: $525M last quarter, down 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: โˆ’$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: โˆ’$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

ECX Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: โˆ’$252,992Q2 2021: โˆ’$89,062Q3 2021: โˆ’$12,969Q4 2021: โˆ’$46,016Q4 2022: โˆ’$80MQ4 2023: โˆ’$196MQ2 2024: โˆ’$71MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ2 2025: โˆ’$86MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20M
Q1 2021: โˆ’$252,992Q2 2021: โˆ’$89,062Q3 2021: โˆ’$12,969Q4 2021: โˆ’$46,016Q4 2022: โˆ’$80MQ4 2023: โˆ’$196MQ2 2024: โˆ’$71MQ4 2024: โˆ’$11MQ2 2025: โˆ’$86MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$20.1M-$9.3M
Q2 2025-$86.5M-$15.5M
Q4 2024-$10.8M+$185.1M
Q4 2023-$195.9M-$115.9M
Q4 2022-$80.1M-$80M

ECX has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$188M over the past year, against โˆ’$276M the year before.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over ECX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ECX Total Shares

Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
Q1 2021: 199MQ2 2021: 38MQ3 2021: 38MQ4 2021: 38MQ4 2022: 239MQ4 2023: 337MQ2 2024: 338MQ4 2024: 337MQ2 2025: 337MQ4 2025: 339M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.4%+1.3M shares

ECX has 339M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ECX Net Leverage

ECX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ECX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.6Neutral
Stochastic28.4Neutral

ECX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ECX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

ECX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over ECX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ECX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.886.8% below
20 week MA$1.0018% below
50 week MA$1.2534% below
100 week MA$1.5547% below
200 week MA$2.4767% below

ECX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ECX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ECX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.70$9.71+0.1%
2022$9.71$8.23-15%
2023$8.23$3.16-62%
2024$3.16$1.89-40%
2025$1.89$1.55-18%
2026 YTD$1.55$0.82-47%

ECX has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 47% so far in 2026.

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