EAT

Brinker International, Inc.

66
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

EAT has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

EAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

EAT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE873x1745x2618x3491x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE873x1745x2618x3491x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$127-35%
Forward14x$198—
Current17x$198—
Fair18x$203+2.7%
Expensive31x$356+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EAT's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EAT, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$292.47
Downside-21%$155.59

Calculated from the latest close: $197.61 on Nov 12.

EAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails EAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.45Q1 2024: $3.41Q2 2024: $3.40Q3 2024: $4.08Q4 2024: $5.75Q1 2025: $7.23Q2 2025: $8.32Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.90Q1 2026: $10.21Q2 2026: $10.87Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $14.08
Q4 2023: $3.45Q1 2024: $3.41Q2 2024: $3.40Q3 2024: $4.08Q4 2024: $5.75Q1 2025: $7.23Q2 2025: $8.32Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.90Q1 2026: $10.21Q2 2026: $10.87Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $14.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.08+24%
Q3 2026$11.34+18%
Q2 2026$10.87+31%
Q1 2026$10.21+41%
Q4 2025$9.90+72%
Q3 2025$9.65+137%
Q2 2025$8.32+145%
Q1 2025$7.23+112%
Q4 2024$5.75+67%

EAT has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

EAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+9.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B+5.1%
Q1 2026$1.5B+3.2%
Q4 2025$1.5B+6.9%
Q3 2025$1.3B+18%
Q2 2025$1.5B+21%
Q1 2025$1.4B+27%
Q4 2024$1.4B+26%

EAT's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.5B last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over EAT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $106M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $169MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $181MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $106M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$105.7M+70%
Q2 2026$159.2M+50%
Q1 2026$180.9M+37%
Q4 2025$155.2M-8.1%
Q3 2025$62.2M+887%
Q2 2025$106.1M+27%
Q1 2025$132.4M+68%
Q4 2024$168.9M+248%

EAT has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

EAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4%-1.8M shares
1 year-6.1%-2.8M shares
3 years-5.3%-2.4M shares
5 years-8.5%-4M shares
Available history+13%+4.9M shares

EAT has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

EAT Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20222.6xModerate
Q4 20212.8xModerate
Q3 20212.8xModerate
Q2 20212.6xModerate
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 20205.6xHigh
Q3 20205.1xHigh
Q2 20205.2xHigh

EAT's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.5Neutral
Stochastic31.9Neutral

EAT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EAT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEATSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.3% below
PE %49472 pts above

EAT is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$200.81.6% below
20 week MA$206.94.5% below
50 week MA$172.615% above
100 week MA$160.523% above
200 week MA$106.785% above

EAT has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

EAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.2$57.7+40%
2021$57.7$37.3-35%
2022$37.3$32.9-12%
2023$32.9$43.2+31%
2024$43.2$132.5+207%
2025$132.5$149.6+13%
2026 YTD$149.6$197.6+32%

EAT has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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