EAT
Brinker International, Inc.
EAT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
EAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
EAT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
EAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $127 | -35% |
| Forward | 14x | $198 | — |
| Current | 17x | $198 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $203 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 31x | $356 | +80% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EAT's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
EAT has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
EAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.08 | +24% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.34 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.87 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.21 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.90 | +72% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.65 | +137% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.32 | +145% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.23 | +112% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.75 | +67% |
EAT has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
EAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.5B | +3.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +26% |
EAT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.7% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.8% | +3.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +4.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.7 points |
EAT has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
EAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $105.7M | +70% |
| Q2 2026 | $159.2M | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $180.9M | +37% |
| Q4 2025 | $155.2M | -8.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $62.2M | +887% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.1M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $132.4M | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $168.9M | +248% |
EAT has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
EAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -4% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -6.1% | -2.8M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | -8.5% | -4M shares |
| Available history | +13% | +4.9M shares |
EAT has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $165.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $100.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $108.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $100.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $134.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $3.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4M |
EAT spent $475M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
EAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2021 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2021 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2021 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2021 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 5.6x | High |
| Q3 2020 | 5.1x | High |
| Q2 2020 | 5.2x | High |
EAT's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
EAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.9 | Neutral |
EAT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
EAT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 3.3% below |
| PE % | 49 | 47 | 2 pts above |
EAT is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $200.8 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $206.9 | 4.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $172.6 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $160.5 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.7 | 85% above |
EAT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
EAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.2 | $57.7 | +40% |
| 2021 | $57.7 | $37.3 | -35% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $32.9 | -12% |
| 2023 | $32.9 | $43.2 | +31% |
| 2024 | $43.2 | $132.5 | +207% |
| 2025 | $132.5 | $149.6 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $149.6 | $197.6 | +32% |
EAT has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.