DXCM

DexCom, Inc.

82
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DXCM has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

DXCM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

DXCM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

DXCM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x357x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x357x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$81.39—
Current32x$81.39—
Cheap42x$107+31%
Fair97x$248+204%
Expensive192x$487+498%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DXCM's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over DXCM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DXCM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

DXCM has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DXCM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$116.92
Downside-15%$69.10

Calculated from the latest close: $81.39 on Nov 12.

DXCM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails DXCM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DXCM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.30Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.42Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.79Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $2.94
Q4 2023: $1.30Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.61Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.42Q1 2025: $1.33Q2 2025: $1.43Q3 2025: $1.79Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $2.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.94+16%
Q3 2026$2.54+42%
Q2 2026$2.52+76%
Q1 2026$2.33+75%
Q4 2025$2.09+47%
Q3 2025$1.79+7.8%
Q2 2025$1.43-11%
Q1 2025$1.33-14%
Q4 2024$1.42+9.2%

DXCM earned $2.54 per share over the past year, up 42% from the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

DXCM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $921MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $994MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $921MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $994MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+11%
Q2 2026$1.3B+13%
Q1 2026$1.2B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+13%
Q3 2025$1.2B+22%
Q2 2025$1.2B+15%
Q1 2025$1B+12%
Q4 2024$1.1B+7.6%

DXCM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

DXCM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $213MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $209MQ3 2025: $579MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $273M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $213MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $209MQ3 2025: $579MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $273M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$272.7M-53%
Q2 2026$184.5M-12%
Q1 2026$449M+364%
Q4 2025$192.1M+8.7%
Q3 2025$579.4M+556%
Q2 2025$208.9M-2.1%
Q1 2025$96.8M-36%
Q4 2024$176.8M+118%

DXCM generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 3.4% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over DXCM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DXCM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 426MQ1 2024: 417MQ2 2024: 417MQ3 2024: 410MQ4 2024: 413MQ1 2025: 408MQ2 2025: 408MQ3 2025: 407MQ4 2025: 406MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 390MQ3 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 426MQ1 2024: 417MQ2 2024: 417MQ3 2024: 410MQ4 2024: 413MQ1 2025: 408MQ2 2025: 408MQ3 2025: 407MQ4 2025: 406MQ1 2026: 394MQ2 2026: 390MQ3 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-6.6M shares
1 year-5.9%-23.9M shares
3 years-10%-43.3M shares
5 years-4.6%-18.5M shares
Available history+3.9%+14.3M shares

DXCM has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DXCM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

DXCM has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DXCM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.7Neutral
Stochastic32.8Neutral

DXCM's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

DXCM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricDXCMSector medianRelative
PE32x26x24% above
PE %62923 pts below

DXCM is trading at 32x earnings, a 24% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over DXCM on valuation relative to its sector.

DXCM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.91.8% below
20 week MA$83.01.9% below
50 week MA$73.910% above
100 week MA$75.38.1% above
200 week MA$91.311% below

DXCM has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

DXCM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.5$88.8+63%
2021$88.8$143.0+61%
2022$143.0$111.4-22%
2023$111.4$124.1+11%
2024$124.1$80.2-35%
2025$80.2$67.6-16%
2026 YTD$67.6$81.4+20%

DXCM has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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