DUOL

Duolingo, Inc.

62
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential66/ 100

DUOL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over DUOL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

DUOL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

DUOL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

DUOL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$46.37-71%
Current51x$157—
Forward51x$157—
Fair151x$464+195%
Expensive207x$637+305%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DUOL's PE is in its fair range at 51.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 51.4x.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK has the edge over DUOL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DUOL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DUOL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over DUOL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

DUOL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$181.83
Downside-66%$52.88

Calculated from the latest close: $157.42 on Nov 12.

DUOL trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DUOL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DUOL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.07-0.5%
Q3 2026$3.08-61%
Q2 2026$8.49+249%
Q1 2026$8.74+331%
Q4 2025$8.57+356%
Q3 2025$7.89+329%
Q2 2025$2.43+72%
Q1 2025$2.03+107%
Q4 2024$1.88+437%

DUOL earned $3.08 per share over the past year, down 61% from the year before.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over DUOL in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

DUOL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309M+14%
Q2 2026$298.5M+18%
Q1 2026$292M+27%
Q4 2025$282.9M+35%
Q3 2025$271.7M+41%
Q2 2025$252.3M+41%
Q1 2025$230.7M+38%
Q4 2024$209.6M+39%

DUOL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $309M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 378% from the same quarter a year ago.

DUOL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$81.4M-9.1%
Q1 2026$150.6M+44%
Q4 2025$96.6M+19%
Q3 2025$79.4M+50%
Q2 2025$89.5M+57%
Q1 2025$104.3M+27%
Q4 2024$81.4M+69%

DUOL generated $407M in free cash flow over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over DUOL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DUOL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-101K shares
1 year+1.6%+786K shares
3 years+6.4%+3M shares
5 years+279%+36.8M shares
Available history+39%+14M shares

DUOL has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

DUOL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash

DUOL has the edge over SNDK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has more cash than debt.

DUOL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

DUOL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

DUOL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDUOLSector medianRelative
PE51x28x83% above
PE %37447 pts below

DUOL is trading at 51x earnings, a 83% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over DUOL on valuation relative to its sector.

DUOL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.57.5% above
20 week MA$140.512% above
50 week MA$132.519% above
100 week MA$241.735% below
200 week MA$215.727% below

DUOL has stronger trend alignment. DUOL is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

DUOL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$140.3$109.0-22%
2022$109.0$70.7-35%
2023$70.7$226.9+221%
2024$226.9$333.3+47%
2025$333.3$181.7-46%
2026 YTD$181.7$157.4-13%

DUOL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +221% in 2023 to −46% in 2025. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over DUOL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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