DUOL

Duolingo, Inc.

62
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential66/ 100

DUOL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over DUOL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

DUOL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

DUOL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

DUOL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$46.37-71%
Current51x$157—
Forward51x$157—
Fair151x$464+195%
Expensive207x$637+305%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DUOL's PE is in its fair range at 51.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 51.4x.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over DUOL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DUOL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DUOL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

DUOL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$181.83
Downside-66%$52.88

Calculated from the latest close: $157.42 on Nov 12.

DUOL trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DUOL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DUOL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.07-0.5%
Q3 2026$3.08-61%
Q2 2026$8.49+249%
Q1 2026$8.74+331%
Q4 2025$8.57+356%
Q3 2025$7.89+329%
Q2 2025$2.43+72%
Q1 2025$2.03+107%
Q4 2024$1.88+437%

DUOL earned $3.08 per share over the past year, down 61% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.43 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

DUOL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309M+14%
Q2 2026$298.5M+18%
Q1 2026$292M+27%
Q4 2025$282.9M+35%
Q3 2025$271.7M+41%
Q2 2025$252.3M+41%
Q1 2025$230.7M+38%
Q4 2024$209.6M+39%

DUOL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $309M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DUOL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$81.4M-9.1%
Q1 2026$150.6M+44%
Q4 2025$96.6M+19%
Q3 2025$79.4M+50%
Q2 2025$89.5M+57%
Q1 2025$104.3M+27%
Q4 2024$81.4M+69%

DUOL generated $407M in free cash flow over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DUOL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-101K shares
1 year+1.6%+786K shares
3 years+6.4%+3M shares
5 years+279%+36.8M shares
Available history+39%+14M shares

DUOL has 50M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DUOL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash

DUOL has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

DUOL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

DUOL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

DUOL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDUOLSector medianRelative
PE51x28x83% above
PE %37447 pts below

DUOL has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

DUOL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.57.5% above
20 week MA$140.512% above
50 week MA$132.519% above
100 week MA$241.735% below
200 week MA$215.727% below

DUOL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DUOL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$140.3$109.0-22%
2022$109.0$70.7-35%
2023$70.7$226.9+221%
2024$226.9$333.3+47%
2025$333.3$181.7-46%
2026 YTD$181.7$157.4-13%

DUOL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +221% in 2023 to −46% in 2025. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over DUOL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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