DUOL

Duolingo, Inc.

62
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential66/ 100

DUOL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over DUOL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

DUOL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

DUOL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

DUOL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$46.37-71%
Current51x$157—
Forward51x$157—
Fair151x$464+195%
Expensive207x$637+305%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DUOL's PE is in its fair range at 51.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 51.4x.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over DUOL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DUOL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DUOL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

DUOL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$181.83
Downside-66%$52.88

Calculated from the latest close: $157.42 on Nov 12.

DUOL trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DUOL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DUOL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.07-0.5%
Q3 2026$3.08-61%
Q2 2026$8.49+249%
Q1 2026$8.74+331%
Q4 2025$8.57+356%
Q3 2025$7.89+329%
Q2 2025$2.43+72%
Q1 2025$2.03+107%
Q4 2024$1.88+437%

DUOL earned $3.08 per share over the past year, down 61% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

DUOL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309M+14%
Q2 2026$298.5M+18%
Q1 2026$292M+27%
Q4 2025$282.9M+35%
Q3 2025$271.7M+41%
Q2 2025$252.3M+41%
Q1 2025$230.7M+38%
Q4 2024$209.6M+39%

DUOL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $309M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DUOL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$81.4M-9.1%
Q1 2026$150.6M+44%
Q4 2025$96.6M+19%
Q3 2025$79.4M+50%
Q2 2025$89.5M+57%
Q1 2025$104.3M+27%
Q4 2024$81.4M+69%

DUOL generated $407M in free cash flow over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DUOL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-101K shares
1 year+1.6%+786K shares
3 years+6.4%+3M shares
5 years+279%+36.8M shares
Available history+39%+14M shares

DUOL has 50M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DUOL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash

DUOL has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

DUOL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

DUOL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

DUOL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDUOLSector medianRelative
PE51x28x83% above
PE %37447 pts below

DUOL is trading at 51x earnings, a 83% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on valuation relative to its sector.

DUOL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.57.5% above
20 week MA$140.512% above
50 week MA$132.519% above
100 week MA$241.735% below
200 week MA$215.727% below

DUOL has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

DUOL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$140.3$109.0-22%
2022$109.0$70.7-35%
2023$70.7$226.9+221%
2024$226.9$333.3+47%
2025$333.3$181.7-46%
2026 YTD$181.7$157.4-13%

DUOL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +221% in 2023 to −46% in 2025. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over DUOL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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