DUOL

Duolingo, Inc.

62
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential66/ 100

DUOL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over DUOL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

DUOL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

DUOL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

DUOL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE178x357x535x713x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$46.37-71%
Current51x$157—
Forward51x$157—
Fair151x$464+195%
Expensive207x$637+305%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DUOL's PE is in its fair range at 51.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 51.4x.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DUOL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DUOL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over DUOL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DUOL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$181.83
Downside-66%$52.88

Calculated from the latest close: $157.42 on Nov 12.

DUOL trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DUOL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DUOL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
Q4 2023: $0.35Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.88Q1 2025: $2.03Q2 2025: $2.43Q3 2025: $7.89Q4 2025: $8.57Q1 2026: $8.74Q2 2026: $8.49Q3 2026: $3.08Forward: $3.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.07-0.5%
Q3 2026$3.08-61%
Q2 2026$8.49+249%
Q1 2026$8.74+331%
Q4 2025$8.57+356%
Q3 2025$7.89+329%
Q2 2025$2.43+72%
Q1 2025$2.03+107%
Q4 2024$1.88+437%

DUOL has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DUOL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $231MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $283MQ1 2026: $292MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$309M+14%
Q2 2026$298.5M+18%
Q1 2026$292M+27%
Q4 2025$282.9M+35%
Q3 2025$271.7M+41%
Q2 2025$252.3M+41%
Q1 2025$230.7M+38%
Q4 2024$209.6M+39%

DUOL has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

DUOL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $81MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$78.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$81.4M-9.1%
Q1 2026$150.6M+44%
Q4 2025$96.6M+19%
Q3 2025$79.4M+50%
Q2 2025$89.5M+57%
Q1 2025$104.3M+27%
Q4 2024$81.4M+69%

DUOL generated $407M in free cash flow over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over DUOL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DUOL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-101K shares
1 year+1.6%+786K shares
3 years+6.4%+3M shares
5 years+279%+36.8M shares
Available history+39%+14M shares

DUOL has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

DUOL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
Q1 2024: -43.4xQ2 2024: -20.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -10.7xQ1 2025: -10.8xQ2 2025: -10.0xQ3 2025: -8.4xQ4 2025: -6.9xQ1 2026: -6.6xQ2 2026: -6.8xQ3 2026: -7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.7xNet Cash

DUOL has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

DUOL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

DUOL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

DUOL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDUOLSector medianRelative
PE51x28x83% above
PE %37447 pts below

DUOL is trading at 51x earnings, a 83% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DUOL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.57.5% above
20 week MA$140.512% above
50 week MA$132.519% above
100 week MA$241.735% below
200 week MA$215.727% below

DUOL has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

DUOL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$140.3$109.0-22%
2022$109.0$70.7-35%
2023$70.7$226.9+221%
2024$226.9$333.3+47%
2025$333.3$181.7-46%
2026 YTD$181.7$157.4-13%

DUOL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +221% in 2023 to −46% in 2025. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over DUOL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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