DSP

Viant Technology Inc.

72
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

DSP offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over DSP overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

DSP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DSP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DSP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x368x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x368x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap33x$9.44-19%
Current40x$11.59—
Forward52x$11.59—
Fair83x$24.08+108%
Expensive112x$32.49+180%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DSP's PE is in its fair range at 40x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 52x.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over DSP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DSP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DSP's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over DSP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

DSP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$18.02
Downside-28%$8.30

Calculated from the latest close: $11.59 on Nov 12.

DSP trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DSP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DSP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.35Q3 2026: $0.29Forward: $0.22
Q4 2023: $-0.23Q1 2024: $-0.12Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.14Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $0.35Q3 2026: $0.29Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22-24%
Q3 2026$0.29+142%
Q2 2026$0.35+133%
Q1 2026$0.40+208%
Q4 2025$0.36+157%
Q3 2025$0.12+71%
Q2 2025$0.15+$0.20
Q1 2025$0.13+$0.25
Q4 2024$0.14+$0.37

DSP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.29 over the past year, against $1.43 in late 2020.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

DSP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $80MQ4 2024: $90MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $110MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110.4M+29%
Q2 2026$104.3M+34%
Q1 2026$88.5M+25%
Q4 2025$110.1M+22%
Q3 2025$85.6M+7.1%
Q2 2025$77.9M+18%
Q1 2025$70.6M+32%
Q4 2024$90.1M+40%

DSP has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

DSP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.1M+44%
Q2 2026$27.6M+35%
Q1 2026$2.6M+$7.2M
Q4 2025$33M+103%
Q3 2025$2.8M-83%
Q2 2025$20.5M+53%
Q1 2025-$4.6M-238%
Q4 2024$16.3M-29%

DSP has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

DSP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-67%-44M shares
1 year+6.6%+1.3M shares
3 years+40%+6.1M shares

DSP has 21M diluted shares, up 6.6% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over DSP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DSP Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -79.7xQ2 2024: -27.3xQ3 2024: -14.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -8.3xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -7.0xQ4 2025: -6.2xQ1 2026: -5.7xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -6.4x
Q1 2024: -79.7xQ2 2024: -27.3xQ3 2024: -14.5xQ4 2024: -10.3xQ1 2025: -8.3xQ2 2025: -7.8xQ3 2025: -7.0xQ4 2025: -6.2xQ1 2026: -5.7xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.3xNet Cash

DSP has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DSP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic55.0Neutral

DSP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

DSP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDSPSector medianRelative
PE40x28x43% above
PE %34406 pts below

DSP is trading at 40x earnings, a 43% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over DSP on valuation relative to its sector.

DSP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.78.5% below
20 week MA$12.67.8% below
50 week MA$11.81.7% below
100 week MA$12.89.1% below
200 week MA$10.412% above

DSP has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 12% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over DSP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DSP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$65.5$10.2-84%
2022$10.2$3.78-63%
2023$3.78$6.89+82%
2024$6.89$19.2+179%
2025$19.2$12.0-38%
2026 YTD$12.0$11.6-3.3%

DSP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +179% in 2024 to −84% in 2021. It's down 3.3% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over DSP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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