DSGR

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc.

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

DSGR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over DSGR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DSGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

DSGR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DSGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1056x2111x3167x4222x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1056x2111x3167x4222x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap28x$6.74-81%
Forward39x$35.04—
Fair45x$10.73-69%
Current146x$35.04—
Expensive240x$57.69+65%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DSGR's PE is in its expensive range at 146x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DSGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DSGR, with profitability holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over DSGR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DSGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$43.64
Downside-21%$27.52

Calculated from the latest close: $35.04 on Nov 12.

DSGR trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DSGR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DSGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $0.02Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.91
Q4 2023: $-0.20Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $0.02Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $-0.23Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.19Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.91+279%
Q3 2026$0.24+$0.47
Q2 2026$0.19+111%
Q1 2026$0.12+500%
Q4 2025$0.18+$0.34
Q3 2025-$0.23-2400%
Q2 2025$0.09+$0.57
Q1 2025$0.02+$0.47
Q4 2024-$0.16+$0.04

DSGR has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

DSGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $405MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $440MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $480MQ1 2025: $478MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $518MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $496MQ2 2026: $558MQ3 2026: $574M
Q4 2023: $405MQ1 2024: $416MQ2 2024: $440MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $480MQ1 2025: $478MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $518MQ4 2025: $482MQ1 2026: $496MQ2 2026: $558MQ3 2026: $574M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$573.6M+11%
Q2 2026$557.7M+11%
Q1 2026$496M+3.8%
Q4 2025$481.6M+0.2%
Q3 2025$518M+11%
Q2 2025$502.4M+14%
Q1 2025$478M+15%
Q4 2024$480.5M+19%

DSGR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $574M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

DSGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $41MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.4M-50%
Q2 2026$16.4M-43%
Q1 2026-$23.7M-$13.3M
Q4 2025$11.7M-71%
Q3 2025$32.9M+$53.4M
Q2 2025$28.7M+59%
Q1 2025-$10.4M-350%
Q4 2024$41.1M+71%

DSGR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

DSGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+655K shares
1 year+0.1%+27.4K shares
3 years+0.7%+350K shares
5 years+152%+28.4M shares
Available history+151%+28.3M shares

DSGR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

DSGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.7xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 5.7xQ3 2024: 6.5xQ4 2024: 5.1xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.0xHigh
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20245.1xHigh

DSGR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DSGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.2Neutral
Stochastic59.6Neutral

DSGR's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

DSGR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricDSGRSector medianRelative
PE146x24x507% above
PE %695811 pts above

DSGR is trading at 146x earnings, a 507% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DSGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.00.1% above
20 week MA$34.12.8% above
50 week MA$30.316% above
100 week MA$29.817% above
200 week MA$29.818% above

DSGR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

DSGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.1$26.3+0.5%
2021$26.3$24.0-8.5%
2022$24.0$17.9-25%
2023$17.9$31.6+76%
2024$31.6$34.7+10%
2025$34.7$28.7-17%
2026 YTD$28.7$35.0+22%

DSGR has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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