DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DRVN has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DRVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DRVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.8x$11.53—
Current11x$11.53—
Cheap14x$14.15+23%
Fair120x$125+981%
Expensive492x$511+4335%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRVN's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.8x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DRVN, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DRVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$16.15
Downside-16%$9.72

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

DRVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails DRVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DRVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.31+26%
Q2 2026$1.04+$2.74
Q1 2026$1.12+$2.93
Q4 2025$0.83+$2.65
Q3 2025-$1.24-4233%
Q2 2025-$1.70+$3.01
Q1 2025-$1.81+$2.86
Q4 2024-$1.82+$2.71
Q3 2024$0.03+$4.31

DRVN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

DRVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$507.4M-7.9%
Q1 2026$484.4M-6.1%
Q4 2025$460.1M-18%
Q3 2025$535.7M-9.5%
Q2 2025$551M-9.9%
Q1 2025$516.2M-9.8%
Q4 2024$564.1M+1.9%
Q3 2024$591.7M+1.8%

DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.9M+221%
Q1 2026$23.1M+22%
Q4 2025$36.2M+$72.4M
Q3 2025$39.5M+4.1%
Q2 2025$9M+$28.5M
Q1 2025$18.9M+$48.1M
Q4 2024-$36.3M+$54.5M
Q3 2024$37.9M+$103M

DRVN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

DRVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+299K shares
1 year+0.5%+786K shares
3 years-1.2%-2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.7%-1.1M shares

DRVN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

DRVN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q1 202571.8xHigh
Q4 202463.3xHigh
Q3 20246.4xHigh
Q2 20235.2xHigh
Q1 20237.5xHigh

DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DRVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRVNSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %05050 pts below

DRVN is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.93.1% below
20 week MA$12.911% below
50 week MA$13.514% below
100 week MA$15.023% below
200 week MA$16.329% below

DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

DRVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$26.7$33.3+25%
2022$33.3$26.8-20%
2023$26.8$14.3-47%
2024$14.3$16.2+14%
2025$16.2$14.8-8.6%
2026 YTD$14.8$11.5-22%

DRVN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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