DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
DRVN has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
DRVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
DRVN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.8x | $11.53 | — |
| Current | 11x | $11.53 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $14.15 | +23% |
| Fair | 120x | $125 | +981% |
| Expensive | 492x | $511 | +4335% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DRVN has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
DRVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DRVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.31 | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.04 | +$2.74 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.12 | +$2.93 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | +$2.65 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | -4233% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.70 | +$3.01 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.81 | +$2.86 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.82 | +$2.71 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.03 | +$4.31 |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
DRVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $507.4M | -7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $484.4M | -6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $460.1M | -18% |
| Q3 2025 | $535.7M | -9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $551M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $516.2M | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $564.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $591.7M | +1.8% |
DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +7.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +74 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.9% | -6.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -57% | -65 points |
| Q3 2024 | 6.7% | +163 points |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
DRVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $28.9M | +221% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $36.2M | +$72.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +$28.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.9M | +$48.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$36.3M | +$54.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $37.9M | +$103M |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
DRVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +299K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +786K shares |
| 3 years | -1.2% | -2M shares |
| 5 years | -0.9% | -1.6M shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -1.1M shares |
DRVN has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $49.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over DRVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
DRVN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 71.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 63.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 7.5x | High |
DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over DRVN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DRVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.0 | Neutral |
DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DRVN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 0 | 50 | 50 pts below |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
DRVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.9 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.9 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.5 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.0 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.3 | 29% below |
DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over DRVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
DRVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $26.7 | $33.3 | +25% |
| 2022 | $33.3 | $26.8 | -20% |
| 2023 | $26.8 | $14.3 | -47% |
| 2024 | $14.3 | $16.2 | +14% |
| 2025 | $16.2 | $14.8 | -8.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.8 | $11.5 | -22% |
DRVN has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.