DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DRVN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DRVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DRVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.8x$11.53—
Current11x$11.53—
Cheap14x$14.15+23%
Fair120x$125+981%
Expensive492x$511+4335%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRVN's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.8x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DRVN, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DRVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$16.15
Downside-16%$9.72

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

DRVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails DRVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DRVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.31+26%
Q2 2026$1.04+$2.74
Q1 2026$1.12+$2.93
Q4 2025$0.83+$2.65
Q3 2025-$1.24-4233%
Q2 2025-$1.70+$3.01
Q1 2025-$1.81+$2.86
Q4 2024-$1.82+$2.71
Q3 2024$0.03+$4.31

DRVN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

DRVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$507.4M-7.9%
Q1 2026$484.4M-6.1%
Q4 2025$460.1M-18%
Q3 2025$535.7M-9.5%
Q2 2025$551M-9.9%
Q1 2025$516.2M-9.8%
Q4 2024$564.1M+1.9%
Q3 2024$591.7M+1.8%

DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.9M+221%
Q1 2026$23.1M+22%
Q4 2025$36.2M+$72.4M
Q3 2025$39.5M+4.1%
Q2 2025$9M+$28.5M
Q1 2025$18.9M+$48.1M
Q4 2024-$36.3M+$54.5M
Q3 2024$37.9M+$103M

DRVN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

DRVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+299K shares
1 year+0.5%+786K shares
3 years-1.2%-2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.7%-1.1M shares

DRVN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

DRVN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q1 202571.8xHigh
Q4 202463.3xHigh
Q3 20246.4xHigh
Q2 20235.2xHigh
Q1 20237.5xHigh

DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DRVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRVNSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %05050 pts below

DRVN is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.93.1% below
20 week MA$12.911% below
50 week MA$13.514% below
100 week MA$15.023% below
200 week MA$16.329% below

DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

DRVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$26.7$33.3+25%
2022$33.3$26.8-20%
2023$26.8$14.3-47%
2024$14.3$16.2+14%
2025$16.2$14.8-8.6%
2026 YTD$14.8$11.5-22%

DRVN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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