DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DRVN has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DRVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DRVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.8x$11.53—
Current11x$11.53—
Cheap14x$14.15+23%
Fair120x$125+981%
Expensive492x$511+4335%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRVN's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.8x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

DRVN has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DRVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$16.15
Downside-16%$9.72

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

DRVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails DRVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DRVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.31+26%
Q2 2026$1.04+$2.74
Q1 2026$1.12+$2.93
Q4 2025$0.83+$2.65
Q3 2025-$1.24-4233%
Q2 2025-$1.70+$3.01
Q1 2025-$1.81+$2.86
Q4 2024-$1.82+$2.71
Q3 2024$0.03+$4.31

DRVN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DRVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$507.4M-7.9%
Q1 2026$484.4M-6.1%
Q4 2025$460.1M-18%
Q3 2025$535.7M-9.5%
Q2 2025$551M-9.9%
Q1 2025$516.2M-9.8%
Q4 2024$564.1M+1.9%
Q3 2024$591.7M+1.8%

DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.9M+221%
Q1 2026$23.1M+22%
Q4 2025$36.2M+$72.4M
Q3 2025$39.5M+4.1%
Q2 2025$9M+$28.5M
Q1 2025$18.9M+$48.1M
Q4 2024-$36.3M+$54.5M
Q3 2024$37.9M+$103M

DRVN has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

DRVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+299K shares
1 year+0.5%+786K shares
3 years-1.2%-2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.7%-1.1M shares

DRVN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

DRVN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q1 202571.8xHigh
Q4 202463.3xHigh
Q3 20246.4xHigh
Q2 20235.2xHigh
Q1 20237.5xHigh

DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over DRVN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DRVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRVNSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %05050 pts below

DRVN is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.93.1% below
20 week MA$12.911% below
50 week MA$13.514% below
100 week MA$15.023% below
200 week MA$16.329% below

DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

DRVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$26.7$33.3+25%
2022$33.3$26.8-20%
2023$26.8$14.3-47%
2024$14.3$16.2+14%
2025$16.2$14.8-8.6%
2026 YTD$14.8$11.5-22%

DRVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over DRVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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