DRVN

Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DRVN has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DRVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

DRVN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

DRVN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE146x292x438x584x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.8x$11.53—
Current11x$11.53—
Cheap14x$14.15+23%
Fair120x$125+981%
Expensive492x$511+4335%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRVN has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DRVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

DRVN has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

DRVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$16.15
Downside-16%$9.72

Calculated from the latest close: $11.53 on Nov 12.

DRVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails DRVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DRVN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
Q3 2023: $-4.28Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.67Q2 2024: $-4.71Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $-1.82Q1 2025: $-1.81Q2 2025: $-1.70Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $1.12Q2 2026: $1.04Forward: $1.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.31+26%
Q2 2026$1.04+$2.74
Q1 2026$1.12+$2.93
Q4 2025$0.83+$2.65
Q3 2025-$1.24-4233%
Q2 2025-$1.70+$3.01
Q1 2025-$1.81+$2.86
Q4 2024-$1.82+$2.71
Q3 2024$0.03+$4.31

DRVN has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

DRVN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
Q3 2023: $581MQ4 2023: $554MQ1 2024: $572MQ2 2024: $612MQ3 2024: $592MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: $516MQ2 2025: $551MQ3 2025: $536MQ4 2025: $460MQ1 2026: $484MQ2 2026: $507M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$507.4M-7.9%
Q1 2026$484.4M-6.1%
Q4 2025$460.1M-18%
Q3 2025$535.7M-9.5%
Q2 2025$551M-9.9%
Q1 2025$516.2M-9.8%
Q4 2024$564.1M+1.9%
Q3 2024$591.7M+1.8%

DRVN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $507M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over DRVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRVN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: −$65MQ4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: −$29MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $38MQ4 2024: −$36MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.9M+221%
Q1 2026$23.1M+22%
Q4 2025$36.2M+$72.4M
Q3 2025$39.5M+4.1%
Q2 2025$9M+$28.5M
Q1 2025$18.9M+$48.1M
Q4 2024-$36.3M+$54.5M
Q3 2024$37.9M+$103M

DRVN has the edge over EBAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

DRVN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
Q3 2023: 162MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+299K shares
1 year+0.5%+786K shares
3 years-1.2%-2M shares
5 years-0.9%-1.6M shares
Available history-0.7%-1.1M shares

DRVN has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over DRVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DRVN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
Q3 2024: 6.4xQ4 2024: 63.3xQ1 2025: 71.8xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q1 202571.8xHigh
Q4 202463.3xHigh
Q3 20246.4xHigh
Q2 20235.2xHigh
Q1 20237.5xHigh

DRVN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over DRVN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DRVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic28.0Neutral

DRVN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

DRVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRVNSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %05050 pts below

DRVN has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DRVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.93.1% below
20 week MA$12.911% below
50 week MA$13.514% below
100 week MA$15.023% below
200 week MA$16.329% below

DRVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over DRVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DRVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$26.7$33.3+25%
2022$33.3$26.8-20%
2023$26.8$14.3-47%
2024$14.3$16.2+14%
2025$16.2$14.8-8.6%
2026 YTD$14.8$11.5-22%

DRVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over DRVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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