DRI
Darden Restaurants, Inc.
DRI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over DRI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
DRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
DRI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
DRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $179 | -22% |
| Fair | 20x | $205 | -10% |
| Forward | 20x | $228 | — |
| Current | 22x | $228 | — |
| Expensive | 23x | $232 | +1.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DRI's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over DRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect DRI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.48 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.23 | +9.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.38 | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.43 | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.52 | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.31 | +7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.86 | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.86 | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.72 | +5.6% |
DRI has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
DRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.7B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3B | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.2B | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +6% |
DRI has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -1.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -0.1 points |
DRI has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
DRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $103.7M | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $379M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $451.9M | +5.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.8M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $168.4M | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $285M | -0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $430.1M | -1.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $219.3M | +22% |
DRI has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
DRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.2M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -17.3M shares |
| Available history | -7.5% | -9.3M shares |
DRI has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $220.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $137.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $127.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $224.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $182.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $51M |
| Q1 2025 | $53M |
| Q4 2024 | $141.8M |
DRI spent $710M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 66% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
DRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
DRI's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over DRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.3 | Overbought |
DRI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
DRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 18x | 24% above |
| PE % | 79 | 47 | 32 pts above |
DRI is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over DRI on valuation relative to its sector.
DRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $212.6 | 7.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $211.0 | 8% above |
| 50 week MA | $205.0 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $201.2 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $178.7 | 28% above |
DRI has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
DRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $108.0 | $117.9 | +9.1% |
| 2021 | $117.9 | $148.8 | +26% |
| 2022 | $148.8 | $138.8 | -6.7% |
| 2023 | $138.8 | $164.3 | +18% |
| 2024 | $164.3 | $187.6 | +14% |
| 2025 | $187.6 | $188.4 | +0.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $188.4 | $227.9 | +21% |
DRI has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.