DRI

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

57
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DRI has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

DRI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$179-22%
Fair20x$205-10%
Forward20x$228—
Current22x$228—
Expensive23x$232+1.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRI's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect DRI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over DRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

DRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$264.58
Downside-15%$194.08

Calculated from the latest close: $227.90 on Nov 12.

DRI trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DRI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.48+12%
Q3 2026$10.23+9.9%
Q2 2026$10.38+17%
Q1 2026$9.43+6.4%
Q4 2025$9.52+9.2%
Q3 2025$9.31+7.5%
Q2 2025$8.86+4.1%
Q1 2025$8.86+4%
Q4 2024$8.72+5.6%

DRI has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

DRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+5.1%
Q2 2026$3.7B+14%
Q1 2026$3.3B+5.9%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.3%
Q3 2025$3B+10%
Q2 2025$3.3B+11%
Q1 2025$3.2B+6.2%
Q4 2024$2.9B+6%

DRI's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

DRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.7M-38%
Q2 2026$379M+33%
Q1 2026$451.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$119.8M-45%
Q3 2025$168.4M+32%
Q2 2025$285M-0.2%
Q1 2025$430.1M-1.7%
Q4 2024$219.3M+22%

DRI generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, down 4.4% from the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

DRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.7%-3.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-17.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-9.3M shares

DRI has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

DRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

DRI's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic80.3Overbought

DRI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRISector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %794732 pts above

DRI is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.67.2% above
20 week MA$211.08% above
50 week MA$205.011% above
100 week MA$201.213% above
200 week MA$178.728% above

DRI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

DRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.0$117.9+9.1%
2021$117.9$148.8+26%
2022$148.8$138.8-6.7%
2023$138.8$164.3+18%
2024$164.3$187.6+14%
2025$187.6$188.4+0.4%
2026 YTD$188.4$227.9+21%

DRI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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