DRI

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

57
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DRI has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

DRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

DRI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$179-22%
Fair20x$205-10%
Forward20x$228—
Current22x$228—
Expensive23x$232+1.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DRI's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect DRI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over DRI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$264.58
Downside-15%$194.08

Calculated from the latest close: $227.90 on Nov 12.

DRI trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DRI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
Q4 2023: $8.26Q1 2024: $8.52Q2 2024: $8.51Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.72Q1 2025: $8.86Q2 2025: $8.86Q3 2025: $9.31Q4 2025: $9.52Q1 2026: $9.43Q2 2026: $10.38Q3 2026: $10.23Forward: $11.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.48+12%
Q3 2026$10.23+9.9%
Q2 2026$10.38+17%
Q1 2026$9.43+6.4%
Q4 2025$9.52+9.2%
Q3 2025$9.31+7.5%
Q2 2025$8.86+4.1%
Q1 2025$8.86+4%
Q4 2024$8.72+5.6%

DRI has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+5.1%
Q2 2026$3.7B+14%
Q1 2026$3.3B+5.9%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.3%
Q3 2025$3B+10%
Q2 2025$3.3B+11%
Q1 2025$3.2B+6.2%
Q4 2024$2.9B+6%

DRI has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

DRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $179MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $286MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $430MQ2 2025: $285MQ3 2025: $168MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $452MQ2 2026: $379MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.7M-38%
Q2 2026$379M+33%
Q1 2026$451.9M+5.1%
Q4 2025$119.8M-45%
Q3 2025$168.4M+32%
Q2 2025$285M-0.2%
Q1 2025$430.1M-1.7%
Q4 2024$219.3M+22%

DRI generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, down 4.4% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over DRI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 121MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 118MQ1 2025: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 117MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.7%-3.2M shares
3 years-6.2%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-17.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-9.3M shares

DRI has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

DRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

DRI's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over DRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic80.3Overbought

DRI's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

DRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDRISector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %794732 pts above

DRI is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$212.67.2% above
20 week MA$211.08% above
50 week MA$205.011% above
100 week MA$201.213% above
200 week MA$178.728% above

DRI has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

DRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.0$117.9+9.1%
2021$117.9$148.8+26%
2022$148.8$138.8-6.7%
2023$138.8$164.3+18%
2024$164.3$187.6+14%
2025$187.6$188.4+0.4%
2026 YTD$188.4$227.9+21%

DRI has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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