DPZ

Domino's Pizza, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

DPZ has a slight edge over NKE overall on the model score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DPZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Weak

DPZ's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DPZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$333—
Cheap24x$438+31%
Fair29x$521+56%
Expensive35x$629+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DPZ has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

DPZ Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DPZ to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DPZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$397.88
Downside-24%$253.77

Calculated from the latest close: $333.23 on Nov 12.

DPZ trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DPZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DPZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.66Q1 2024: $15.31Q2 2024: $16.26Q3 2024: $16.27Q4 2024: $16.69Q1 2025: $17.44Q2 2025: $17.22Q3 2025: $17.11Q4 2025: $17.57Q1 2026: $17.37Q2 2026: $17.63Q3 2026: $18.15
Q4 2023: $14.66Q1 2024: $15.31Q2 2024: $16.26Q3 2024: $16.27Q4 2024: $16.69Q1 2025: $17.44Q2 2025: $17.22Q3 2025: $17.11Q4 2025: $17.57Q1 2026: $17.37Q2 2026: $17.63Q3 2026: $18.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$18.15+6.1%
Q2 2026$17.63+2.4%
Q1 2026$17.37-0.4%
Q4 2025$17.57+5.3%
Q3 2025$17.11+5.2%
Q2 2025$17.22+5.9%
Q1 2025$17.44+14%
Q4 2024$16.69+14%

DPZ has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

DPZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3.4%
Q2 2026$1.2B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.5%
Q4 2025$1.5B+6.4%
Q3 2025$1.1B+6.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+4.3%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.5%
Q4 2024$1.4B+2.9%

DPZ has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DPZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $167MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $167MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$166.7M-0.4%
Q1 2026$146.9M-11%
Q2 2025$167.3M+32%
Q1 2025$164.3M+59%
Q2 2024$127.2M+17%
Q1 2024$103.3M+8%
Q2 2023$108.7M+100%
Q1 2023$95.7M+44%

DPZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2020: $645M over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

DPZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+33.2K shares
1 year-3%-1M shares
3 years-6.3%-2.2M shares
5 years-9%-3.3M shares
Available history-21%-8.8M shares

DPZ has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DPZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.4x
Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20245.0xHigh
Q3 20245.0xHigh

DPZ's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.7 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over DPZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DPZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

DPZ's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

DPZ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDPZSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1.9% above
PE %44743 pts below

DPZ is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over DPZ on valuation relative to its sector.

DPZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$312.86.5% above
20 week MA$322.63.3% above
50 week MA$352.35.4% below
100 week MA$400.417% below
200 week MA$401.817% below

DPZ has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

DPZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$292.3$396.7+36%
2021$396.7$545.8+38%
2022$545.8$353.0-35%
2023$353.0$412.2+17%
2024$412.2$429.6+4.2%
2025$429.6$425.6-0.9%
2026 YTD$425.6$333.2-22%

DPZ has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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