DPZ

Domino's Pizza, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

DPZ has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DPZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Weak

DPZ's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DPZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$333—
Cheap24x$438+31%
Fair29x$521+56%
Expensive35x$629+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DPZ's PE is in its cheap range at 18x.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DPZ Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DPZ to show an outlook.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DPZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$397.88
Downside-24%$253.77

Calculated from the latest close: $333.23 on Nov 12.

DPZ trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DPZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DPZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.66Q1 2024: $15.31Q2 2024: $16.26Q3 2024: $16.27Q4 2024: $16.69Q1 2025: $17.44Q2 2025: $17.22Q3 2025: $17.11Q4 2025: $17.57Q1 2026: $17.37Q2 2026: $17.63Q3 2026: $18.15
Q4 2023: $14.66Q1 2024: $15.31Q2 2024: $16.26Q3 2024: $16.27Q4 2024: $16.69Q1 2025: $17.44Q2 2025: $17.22Q3 2025: $17.11Q4 2025: $17.57Q1 2026: $17.37Q2 2026: $17.63Q3 2026: $18.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$18.15+6.1%
Q2 2026$17.63+2.4%
Q1 2026$17.37-0.4%
Q4 2025$17.57+5.3%
Q3 2025$17.11+5.2%
Q2 2025$17.22+5.9%
Q1 2025$17.44+14%
Q4 2024$16.69+14%

DPZ has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DPZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3.4%
Q2 2026$1.2B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.5%
Q4 2025$1.5B+6.4%
Q3 2025$1.1B+6.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+4.3%
Q1 2025$1.1B+2.5%
Q4 2024$1.4B+2.9%

DPZ has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

DPZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $167MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $127MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $167MQ3 2025: $164MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$166.7M-0.4%
Q1 2026$146.9M-11%
Q2 2025$167.3M+32%
Q1 2025$164.3M+59%
Q2 2024$127.2M+17%
Q1 2024$103.3M+8%
Q2 2023$108.7M+100%
Q1 2023$95.7M+44%

DPZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2020: $645M over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

DPZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+33.2K shares
1 year-3%-1M shares
3 years-6.3%-2.2M shares
5 years-9%-3.3M shares
Available history-21%-8.8M shares

DPZ has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

DPZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.4x
Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.4xQ2 2026: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.4xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20245.0xHigh
Q3 20245.0xHigh

DPZ's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.7 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over DPZ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DPZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

DPZ's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

DPZ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDPZSector medianRelative
PE18x18x1.9% above
PE %44743 pts below

DPZ is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DPZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$312.86.5% above
20 week MA$322.63.3% above
50 week MA$352.35.4% below
100 week MA$400.417% below
200 week MA$401.817% below

DPZ has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

DPZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$292.3$396.7+36%
2021$396.7$545.8+38%
2022$545.8$353.0-35%
2023$353.0$412.2+17%
2024$412.2$429.6+4.2%
2025$429.6$425.6-0.9%
2026 YTD$425.6$333.2-22%

DPZ has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over DPZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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