DOW

Dow Inc.

56
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

DOW lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

DOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Weak

DOW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

DOW PE Valuation

DOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect DOW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$43.81
Downside-25%$25.02

Calculated from the latest close: $33.15 on Nov 12.

DOW's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +32% against −25%.

DOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.62Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-1.40Q3 2025: $-1.62Q4 2025: $-3.70Q1 2026: $-4.00Q2 2026: $-1.83Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $2.12
Q4 2023: $0.82Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.62Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-1.40Q3 2025: $-1.62Q4 2025: $-3.70Q1 2026: $-4.00Q2 2026: $-1.83Q3 2026: $-1.29Forward: $2.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.12—
Q3 2026-$1.29+$0.33
Q2 2026-$1.83-$0.43
Q1 2026-$4.00-1100%
Q4 2025-$3.70-336%
Q3 2025-$1.62-208%
Q2 2025-$1.40-186%
Q1 2025$0.40-76%
Q4 2024$1.57+91%

DOW lost $1.29 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

DOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $10.9BQ3 2024: $10.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $10.1BQ3 2025: $10BQ4 2025: $9.5BQ1 2026: $9.8BQ2 2026: $12.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
Q4 2023: $10.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $10.9BQ3 2024: $10.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10.4BQ2 2025: $10.1BQ3 2025: $10BQ4 2025: $9.5BQ1 2026: $9.8BQ2 2026: $12.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.3B+13%
Q2 2026$12.1B+20%
Q1 2026$9.8B-6.1%
Q4 2025$9.5B-9.1%
Q3 2025$10B-8.3%
Q2 2025$10.1B-7.4%
Q1 2025$10.4B-3.1%
Q4 2024$10.4B-2%

DOW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $11.3B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

DOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $464MQ2 2024: $836MQ3 2024: $800MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$594MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: $563MQ4 2025: −$284MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $464MQ2 2024: $836MQ3 2024: $800MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$594MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: $563MQ4 2025: −$284MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+226%
Q2 2026$1.3B+$2.5B
Q1 2026$621M+$1.2B
Q3 2025$563M-30%
Q2 2025-$1.1B-235%
Q1 2025-$594M-228%
Q3 2024$800M-52%
Q2 2024$836M-38%

DOW's free cash flow has turned positive again: $3.5B over the past year, against −$363M the year before.

DOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 709MQ1 2024: 706MQ2 2024: 705MQ3 2024: 704MQ4 2024: 705MQ1 2025: 707MQ2 2025: 710MQ3 2025: 713MQ4 2025: 712MQ1 2026: 721MQ2 2026: 725MQ3 2026: 727M
Q4 2023: 709MQ1 2024: 706MQ2 2024: 705MQ3 2024: 704MQ4 2024: 705MQ1 2025: 707MQ2 2025: 710MQ3 2025: 713MQ4 2025: 712MQ1 2026: 721MQ2 2026: 725MQ3 2026: 727M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.3M shares
1 year+2%+14.2M shares
3 years+2.8%+19.9M shares
5 years-3%-22.6M shares
Available history-2%-15.1M shares

DOW has 727M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

DOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 44.1xQ1 2026: 44.7xQ2 2026: 7.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 4.1xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 44.1xQ1 2026: 44.7xQ2 2026: 7.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.7xHigh
Q2 20267.8xHigh
Q1 202644.7xHigh
Q4 202544.1xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.1xHigh
Q4 20243.1xElevated

DOW's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.3 years a year ago.

DOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic78.6Neutral

DOW's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

DOW PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricDOWSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

DOW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.87.7% above
20 week MA$30.29.9% above
50 week MA$31.55.4% above
100 week MA$30.68.5% above
200 week MA$42.021% below

DOW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 21% below its 200-week average.

DOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.8$54.8-0.1%
2021$54.8$55.1+0.6%
2022$55.1$50.9-7.8%
2023$50.9$54.8+7.8%
2024$54.8$40.0-27%
2025$40.0$23.3-42%
2026 YTD$23.3$33.2+42%

DOW is up 42% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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