DOCU

DocuSign, Inc.

67
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

DOCU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over DOCU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DOCU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DOCU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DOCU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$26.23-67%
Forward16x$80.15—
Fair35x$57.65-28%
Current49x$80.15—
Expensive114x$187+133%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DOCU's PE is in its fair range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over DOCU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DOCU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

DOCU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$102.28
Downside-26%$58.94

Calculated from the latest close: $80.15 on Nov 12.

DOCU trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DOCU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DOCU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $4.74Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $5.08Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.40Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.54Q3 2026: $1.64Forward: $5.06
Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.36Q2 2024: $0.52Q3 2024: $4.74Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $5.08Q2 2025: $5.26Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.40Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.54Q3 2026: $1.64Forward: $5.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.06+208%
Q3 2026$1.64+26%
Q2 2026$1.54-71%
Q1 2026$1.48-71%
Q4 2025$1.40-71%
Q3 2025$1.30-73%
Q2 2025$5.26+912%
Q1 2025$5.08+1311%
Q4 2024$4.85+1840%

DOCU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.64 over the past year, against $5.26 in early 2025.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over DOCU on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DOCU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $700MQ1 2024: $712MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $736MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $801MQ4 2025: $818MQ1 2026: $837MQ2 2026: $830MQ3 2026: $876M
Q4 2023: $700MQ1 2024: $712MQ2 2024: $710MQ3 2024: $736MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $801MQ4 2025: $818MQ1 2026: $837MQ2 2026: $830MQ3 2026: $876M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$875.7M+9.4%
Q2 2026$830.2M+8.7%
Q1 2026$836.9M+7.8%
Q4 2025$818.4M+8.4%
Q3 2025$800.6M+8.8%
Q2 2025$763.7M+7.6%
Q1 2025$776.3M+9%
Q4 2024$754.8M+7.8%

DOCU's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $876M last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over DOCU on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DOCU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $263MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $296M
Q4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $232MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $228MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $263MQ1 2026: $350MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $296M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$295.8M+36%
Q2 2026$289.4M+27%
Q1 2026$350.2M+25%
Q4 2025$262.9M+25%
Q3 2025$217.6M+10%
Q2 2025$227.8M-1.8%
Q1 2025$279.6M+12%
Q4 2024$210.7M-12%

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

DOCU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 193M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 210MQ3 2024: 208MQ4 2024: 209MQ1 2025: 210MQ2 2025: 213MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 208MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 196MQ3 2026: 193M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-3.4M shares
1 year-8.5%-17.8M shares
3 years-7.2%-15.1M shares
5 years-1.5%-2.9M shares
Available history+8.3%+14.8M shares

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DOCU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -10.3xQ1 2024: -6.3xQ2 2024: -5.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.0x
Q4 2023: -10.3xQ1 2024: -6.3xQ2 2024: -5.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DOCU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.3Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

DOCU's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

DOCU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDOCUSector medianRelative
PE49x28x75% above
PE %623527 pts above

DOCU is trading at 49x earnings, a 75% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over DOCU on valuation relative to its sector.

DOCU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.95.6% above
20 week MA$65.622% above
50 week MA$57.440% above
100 week MA$68.617% above
200 week MA$62.628% above

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

DOCU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.4$244.9+229%
2021$244.9$157.0-36%
2022$157.0$53.9-66%
2023$53.9$59.5+10%
2024$59.5$93.0+56%
2025$93.0$70.0-25%
2026 YTD$70.0$80.2+15%

DOCU has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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