DKS

DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.

45
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DKS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over DKS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

DKS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

DKS's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DKS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$84.34-42%
Forward12x$146—
Fair14x$124-15%
Current16x$146—
Expensive18x$162+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DKS's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over DKS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DKS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

DKS has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DKS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$193.88
Downside-19%$118.44

Calculated from the latest close: $145.66 on Nov 12.

DKS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails DKS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DKS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.22Q1 2024: $12.18Q2 2024: $12.08Q3 2024: $13.63Q4 2024: $13.99Q1 2025: $14.05Q2 2025: $13.99Q3 2025: $14.33Q4 2025: $12.44Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $10.27Q3 2026: $9.06Forward: $12.44
Q4 2023: $11.22Q1 2024: $12.18Q2 2024: $12.08Q3 2024: $13.63Q4 2024: $13.99Q1 2025: $14.05Q2 2025: $13.99Q3 2025: $14.33Q4 2025: $12.44Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $10.27Q3 2026: $9.06Forward: $12.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.44+37%
Q3 2026$9.06-37%
Q2 2026$10.27-27%
Q1 2026$9.97-29%
Q4 2025$12.44-11%
Q3 2025$14.33+5.1%
Q2 2025$13.99+16%
Q1 2025$14.05+15%
Q4 2024$13.99+25%

DKS has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

DKS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.6B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $6.2BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.6B+53%
Q2 2026$5.2B+63%
Q1 2026$6.2B+60%
Q4 2025$4.2B+36%
Q3 2025$3.6B+5%
Q2 2025$3.2B+5.2%
Q1 2025$3.9B+0.5%
Q4 2024$3.1B+0.5%

DKS has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DKS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$90MQ1 2024: $585MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $180MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: −$516MQ1 2026: $706MQ2 2026: −$84MQ3 2026: $133M
Q4 2023: −$90MQ1 2024: $585MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $180MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $395MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: $296MQ4 2025: −$516MQ1 2026: $706MQ2 2026: −$84MQ3 2026: $133M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133M-55%
Q2 2026-$84.2M+$2.5M
Q1 2026$706.2M+79%
Q4 2025-$515.6M-$376.3M
Q3 2025$296.2M+65%
Q2 2025-$86.7M-217%
Q1 2025$394.5M-33%
Q4 2024-$139.3M-$49.6M

DKS has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

DKS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 83MQ4 2024: 83MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 90MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-277K shares
1 year+11%+9.1M shares
3 years+3.9%+3.3M shares
5 years-18%-19.1M shares
Available history+4.1%+3.5M shares

DKS has 90M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago, despite $185M in buybacks over the past year.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over DKS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DKS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low

DKS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over DKS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DKS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic24.3Neutral

DKS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

DKS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDKSSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %714724 pts above

DKS has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DKS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$141.13.3% above
20 week MA$166.312% below
50 week MA$194.225% below
100 week MA$202.528% below
200 week MA$184.021% below

DKS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 21% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

DKS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.2$55.6+15%
2021$55.6$103.9+87%
2022$103.9$111.1+6.9%
2023$111.1$147.0+32%
2024$147.0$234.1+59%
2025$234.1$210.3-10%
2026 YTD$210.3$145.7-31%

DKS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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