DKNG

DraftKings Inc.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

DKNG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over DKNG overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

DKNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Stable

DKNG's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

DKNG PE Valuation

DKNG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DKNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

DKNG has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

DKNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$27.43
Downside-29%$13.51

Calculated from the latest close: $19.12 on Nov 12.

DKNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails DKNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DKNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.73Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-0.89Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-0.82Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.54Q4 2025: $-0.01Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.35Q3 2026: $-0.77
Q4 2023: $-1.73Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-0.89Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-1.05Q1 2025: $-0.82Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.54Q4 2025: $-0.01Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.35Q3 2026: $-0.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.77-$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.35+$0.27
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.91
Q4 2025-$0.01+$1.04
Q3 2025-$0.54+$0.34
Q2 2025-$0.62+$0.27
Q1 2025-$0.82+$0.34
Q4 2024-$1.05+$0.68

DKNG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.77 per share over the past year, against $4.93 at its worst in late 2021.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

DKNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+16%
Q2 2026$1.4B-4.6%
Q1 2026$1.6B+17%
Q4 2025$2B+43%
Q3 2025$1.1B+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.5B+37%
Q1 2025$1.4B+20%
Q4 2024$1.4B+13%

DKNG's revenue is growing: $1.3B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $3.2B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

DKNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $131MQ4 2024: $323MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $317MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $107MQ3 2026: −$44M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $131MQ4 2024: $323MQ1 2025: −$122MQ2 2025: $170MQ3 2025: $283MQ4 2025: $317MQ1 2026: −$56MQ2 2026: $107MQ3 2026: −$44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$43.7M-115%
Q2 2026$106.9M-37%
Q1 2026-$55.5M+$66.1M
Q4 2025$316.5M-2.1%
Q3 2025$283M+116%
Q2 2025$169.6M+529%
Q1 2025-$121.7M-$48.2M
Q4 2024$323.2M+355%

DKNG has burned cash in most quarters: $324M over the past year, down 50% from the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DKNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 463MQ1 2024: 474MQ2 2024: 519MQ3 2024: 486MQ4 2024: 482MQ1 2025: 493MQ2 2025: 529MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 511MQ2 2026: 496MQ3 2026: 497M
Q4 2023: 463MQ1 2024: 474MQ2 2024: 519MQ3 2024: 486MQ4 2024: 482MQ1 2025: 493MQ2 2025: 529MQ3 2025: 497MQ4 2025: 496MQ1 2026: 511MQ2 2026: 496MQ3 2026: 497M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+843K shares
1 year+0.1%+293K shares
3 years+6.9%+32.2M shares
5 years+23%+93.1M shares
Available history+170%+313M shares

DKNG has 497M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DKNG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low

DKNG's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DKNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic25.3Neutral

DKNG's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

DKNG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDKNGSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

DKNG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DKNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.83.5% below
20 week MA$22.716% below
50 week MA$25.324% below
100 week MA$32.140% below
200 week MA$32.541% below

DKNG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 41% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DKNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.7$52.1+388%
2021$52.1$29.4-44%
2022$29.4$11.5-61%
2023$11.5$35.3+206%
2024$35.3$37.9+7.6%
2025$37.9$34.9-8%
2026 YTD$34.9$19.1-45%

DKNG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +388% in 2020 to −61% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over DKNG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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