DK

Delek US Holdings, Inc.

71
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

DK's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 3.6x earnings, below its usual 6.2x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

DK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current3.6x$68.41—
Forward4x$68.41—
Cheap5.3x$99.73+46%
Fair6.2x$117+71%
Expensive25x$466+581%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DK's PE is in its cheap range at 3.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.0x.

DK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$102.27
Downside-26%$50.96

Calculated from the latest close: $68.41 on Nov 12.

DK's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +49% against −26%.

DK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-1.61Q3 2024: $-4.78Q4 2024: $-8.77Q1 2025: $-11.04Q2 2025: $-12.22Q3 2025: $-8.09Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.94Q2 2026: $3.53Q3 2026: $18.82Forward: $16.96
Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $-1.16Q2 2024: $-1.61Q3 2024: $-4.78Q4 2024: $-8.77Q1 2025: $-11.04Q2 2025: $-12.22Q3 2025: $-8.09Q4 2025: $-0.38Q1 2026: $-0.94Q2 2026: $3.53Q3 2026: $18.82Forward: $16.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.96-9.9%
Q3 2026$18.82+$26.91
Q2 2026$3.53+$15.75
Q1 2026-$0.94+$10.10
Q4 2025-$0.38+$8.39
Q3 2025-$8.09-$3.31
Q2 2025-$12.22-$10.61
Q1 2025-$11.04-$9.88
Q4 2024-$8.77-3023%

DK has returned to profit: it earned $18.82 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

DK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $4BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+52%
Q2 2026$4.1B+48%
Q1 2026$2.7B+0.4%
Q4 2025$2.4B+2.3%
Q3 2025$2.9B-5.1%
Q2 2025$2.8B-19%
Q1 2025$2.6B-18%
Q4 2024$2.4B-41%

DK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $4.4B last quarter, up 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

DK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: −$134MQ3 2024: −$126MQ4 2024: −$354MQ1 2025: −$198MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $273MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $456M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: −$134MQ3 2024: −$126MQ4 2024: −$354MQ1 2025: −$198MQ2 2025: −$114MQ3 2025: −$64MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $273MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $456M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$456.1M+$520.1M
Q2 2026$89.1M+$203.5M
Q1 2026$273.4M+$471.5M
Q4 2025$382.8M+$736.8M
Q3 2025-$64M+$61.5M
Q2 2025-$114.4M+$20M
Q1 2025-$198.1M-266%
Q4 2024-$354M-3826%

DK's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $1.2B over the past year.

DK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-262K shares
1 year+2.1%+1.3M shares
3 years-5%-3.2M shares
5 years-16%-12.3M shares
Available history-17%-12.5M shares

DK has 62M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

DK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 11.0xQ3 2025: 20.2xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 11.0xQ3 2025: 20.2xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 202520.2xHigh
Q3 202411.0xHigh
Q2 20243.6xElevated
Q1 20243.3xElevated

DK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

DK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic45.1Neutral

DK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

DK PE vs Energy Sector

MetricDKSector medianRelative
PE3.6x13x72% below
PE %36158 pts below

DK is trading at 3.6x earnings, a 72% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

DK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.74.6% below
20 week MA$68.50.1% below
50 week MA$50.835% above
100 week MA$36.986% above
200 week MA$30.7123% above

DK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 123% above its 200-week average.

DK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$15.4-54%
2021$15.4$14.7-4.9%
2022$14.7$27.6+88%
2023$27.6$25.8-6.6%
2024$25.8$17.3-33%
2025$17.3$29.6+71%
2026 YTD$29.6$68.4+131%

DK is up 131% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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