DIS

The Walt Disney Company

60
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DIS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over DIS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

DIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

DIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x314x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE78x157x235x314x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$118—
Cheap18x$85.34-28%
Current24x$118—
Fair41x$196+66%
Expensive75x$363+207%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DIS's PE is 24x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS has the edge over DIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect DIS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over DIS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$140.26
Downside-15%$100.65

Calculated from the latest close: $118.23 on Nov 12.

DIS trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DIS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DIS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.29Q4 2023: $1.63Q1 2024: $0.93Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $2.72Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.85Q4 2025: $6.79Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.84Forward: $7.50
Q3 2023: $1.29Q4 2023: $1.63Q1 2024: $0.93Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $2.72Q4 2024: $3.08Q1 2025: $4.90Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.85Q4 2025: $6.79Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.84Forward: $7.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.50+55%
Q2 2026$4.84-24%
Q1 2026$6.25+28%
Q4 2025$6.79+120%
Q3 2025$6.85+152%
Q2 2025$6.39+145%
Q1 2025$4.90+427%
Q4 2024$3.08+89%
Q3 2024$2.72+111%

DIS has the edge over TMUS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS earned $10.37 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

DIS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $21.2BQ4 2023: $23.5BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $23.2BQ3 2024: $22.6BQ4 2024: $24.7BQ1 2025: $23.6BQ2 2025: $23.6BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $26BQ1 2026: $25.2BQ2 2026: $25.2B
Q3 2023: $21.2BQ4 2023: $23.5BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $23.2BQ3 2024: $22.6BQ4 2024: $24.7BQ1 2025: $23.6BQ2 2025: $23.6BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $26BQ1 2026: $25.2BQ2 2026: $25.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$25.2B+6.8%
Q1 2026$25.2B+6.5%
Q4 2025$26B+5.2%
Q3 2025$22.5B-0.5%
Q2 2025$23.7B+2.1%
Q1 2025$23.6B+7%
Q4 2024$24.7B+4.8%
Q3 2024$22.6B+6.3%

DIS's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $25.2B last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over DIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DIS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $886MQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: −$2.3BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $3.1B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $886MQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $4BQ4 2024: $739MQ1 2025: $4.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: −$2.3BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.1B+63%
Q1 2026$4.9B+1%
Q4 2025-$2.3B-408%
Q3 2025$2.6B-37%
Q2 2025$1.9B+53%
Q1 2025$4.9B+103%
Q4 2024$739M-17%
Q3 2024$4B+18%

DIS generated $8.3B in free cash flow over the past year, down 28% from the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over DIS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DIS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.8BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.8BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7B
Q3 2023: 1.8BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.8BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-29M shares
1 year-3.4%-62M shares
3 years-4.7%-86M shares
5 years-4.8%-87M shares
Available history+4.6%+77M shares

DIS has 1.7B diluted shares, down 3.4% from a year ago, with $8.2B in buybacks over the past year.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over DIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DIS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.7x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy
Q3 20241.9xHealthy

DIS's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over DIS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.8Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

DIS's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

DIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricDISSector medianRelative
PE24x16x48% above
PE %31265 pts above

DIS is trading at 24x earnings, a 48% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS has the edge over DIS on valuation relative to its sector.

DIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$110.76.8% above
20 week MA$105.612% above
50 week MA$105.212% above
100 week MA$107.410% above
200 week MA$102.316% above

DIS has the edge over TMUS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

DIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$145.8$173.7+19%
2021$173.7$153.6-12%
2022$153.6$88.0-43%
2023$88.0$90.3+2.6%
2024$90.3$111.6+24%
2025$111.6$113.6+1.8%
2026 YTD$113.6$118.2+4.1%

DIS has the edge over TMUS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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