DIS
The Walt Disney Company
DIS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over DIS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
DIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
DIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $118 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $85.34 | -28% |
| Current | 24x | $118 | — |
| Fair | 41x | $196 | +66% |
| Expensive | 75x | $363 | +207% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DIS's PE is 24x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over DIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect DIS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
DIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.50 | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.84 | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.25 | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.79 | +120% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.85 | +152% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.39 | +145% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.90 | +427% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.08 | +89% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.72 | +111% |
DIS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 24% for DIS versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
DIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $25.2B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.2B | +6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $26B | +5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.5B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.6B | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.7B | +4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $22.6B | +6.3% |
DIS's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $25.2B last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 16% | +2.2 points |
DIS's operating margin was 22% last quarter, up 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.3B | -408% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.9B | +103% |
| Q4 2024 | $739M | -17% |
| Q3 2024 | $4B | +18% |
DIS generated $8.3B in free cash flow over the past year, down 28% from the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -29M shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -62M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -4.8% | -87M shares |
| Available history | +4.6% | +77M shares |
DIS has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $2B |
| Q3 2025 | $1B |
| Q2 2025 | $711M |
| Q1 2025 | $991M |
| Q4 2024 | $794M |
| Q3 2024 | $469M |
DIS spent $8.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 178% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
DIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
DIS's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.6 | Overbought |
DIS's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
DIS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | DIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 16x | 48% above |
| PE % | 31 | 26 | 5 pts above |
DIS is trading at 24x earnings, a 48% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT has the edge over DIS on valuation relative to its sector.
DIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $110.7 | 6.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $105.6 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $105.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $107.4 | 10% above |
| 200 week MA | $102.3 | 16% above |
DIS has stronger trend alignment. DIS is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
DIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $145.8 | $173.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $173.7 | $153.6 | -12% |
| 2022 | $153.6 | $88.0 | -43% |
| 2023 | $88.0 | $90.3 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | $90.3 | $111.6 | +24% |
| 2025 | $111.6 | $113.6 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.6 | $118.2 | +4.1% |
DIS has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.