DIS
The Walt Disney Company
DIS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
META has the edge over DIS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
DIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
DIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
META Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
DIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $118 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $85.34 | -28% |
| Current | 24x | $118 | — |
| Fair | 41x | $196 | +66% |
| Expensive | 75x | $363 | +207% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DIS has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
META PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $624 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $613 | -1.7% |
| Current | 21x | $624 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $803 | +29% |
| Expensive | 32x | $934 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
DIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect DIS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
META Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.50 | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.84 | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.25 | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.79 | +120% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.85 | +152% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.39 | +145% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.90 | +427% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.08 | +89% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.72 | +111% |
DIS has the edge over META on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $32.16 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $29.32 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.54 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.50 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.49 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.58 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.56 | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.58 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.86 | +60% |
META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
DIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $25.2B | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.2B | +6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $26B | +5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.5B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.6B | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.7B | +4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $22.6B | +6.3% |
DIS's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $25.2B last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 16% | +2.2 points |
DIS has the edge over META on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
META Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.6B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.8B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.3B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $42.3B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.4B | +21% |
META has the edge over DIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +7.4 points |
META's operating margin was 20% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
DIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.9B | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.3B | -408% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.9B | +103% |
| Q4 2024 | $739M | -17% |
| Q3 2024 | $4B | +18% |
DIS has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.2B | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6B | +16% |
META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.
DIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -29M shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -62M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -4.8% | -87M shares |
| Available history | +4.6% | +77M shares |
DIS has the edge over META on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $2B |
| Q3 2025 | $1B |
| Q2 2025 | $711M |
| Q1 2025 | $991M |
| Q4 2024 | $794M |
| Q3 2024 | $469M |
DIS spent $8.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 178% from the year before.
META Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +7M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -68M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -286M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -303M shares |
META has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $12.8B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
META hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
DIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
DIS's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
META Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
META has the edge over DIS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.6 | Overbought |
DIS's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
META Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
DIS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | DIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 16x | 48% above |
| PE % | 31 | 26 | 5 pts above |
DIS is trading at 24x earnings, a 48% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
META PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | META | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 16x | 29% above |
| PE % | 18 | 26 | 8 pts below |
META has the edge over DIS on valuation relative to its sector.
DIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $110.7 | 6.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $105.6 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $105.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $107.4 | 10% above |
| 200 week MA | $102.3 | 16% above |
DIS has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
META Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $674.9 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $634.5 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.8 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $647.8 | 3.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $517.5 | 21% above |
META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.
DIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $145.8 | $173.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $173.7 | $153.6 | -12% |
| 2022 | $153.6 | $88.0 | -43% |
| 2023 | $88.0 | $90.3 | +2.6% |
| 2024 | $90.3 | $111.6 | +24% |
| 2025 | $111.6 | $113.6 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.6 | $118.2 | +4.1% |
DIS has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
META Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $208.1 | $267.4 | +28% |
| 2021 | $267.4 | $335.2 | +25% |
| 2022 | $335.2 | $118.0 | -65% |
| 2023 | $118.0 | $354.0 | +200% |
| 2024 | $354.0 | $599.8 | +69% |
| 2025 | $599.8 | $663.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $663.3 | $623.6 | -6% |
META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.