DIOD

Diodes Incorporated

74
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

DIOD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has a slight edge over DIOD overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

DIOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

DIOD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DIOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$31.51-66%
Forward15x$91.60—
Fair24x$60.50-34%
Current37x$91.60—
Expensive46x$114+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DIOD's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over DIOD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DIOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

DIOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+87%$171.49
Downside-16%$76.83

Calculated from the latest close: $91.60 on Nov 12.

DIOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails DIOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DIOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.91Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $2.07Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $5.97
Q4 2023: $4.91Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $2.07Q3 2024: $1.32Q4 2024: $0.95Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.38Q4 2025: $1.43Q1 2026: $1.85Q2 2026: $1.86Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $5.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.97+139%
Q3 2026$2.50+81%
Q2 2026$1.86+36%
Q1 2026$1.85+236%
Q4 2025$1.43+51%
Q3 2025$1.38+4.5%
Q2 2025$1.37-34%
Q1 2025$0.55-85%
Q4 2024$0.95-81%

DIOD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.50 over the past year, against $7.20 in late 2022.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over DIOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DIOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $323MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: $332MQ2 2025: $366MQ3 2025: $392MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $405MQ2 2026: $446MQ3 2026: $533M
Q4 2023: $323MQ1 2024: $302MQ2 2024: $320MQ3 2024: $350MQ4 2024: $339MQ1 2025: $332MQ2 2025: $366MQ3 2025: $392MQ4 2025: $392MQ1 2026: $405MQ2 2026: $446MQ3 2026: $533M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$532.6M+36%
Q2 2026$445.5M+22%
Q1 2026$405.5M+22%
Q4 2025$391.6M+15%
Q3 2025$392.2M+12%
Q2 2025$366.2M+15%
Q1 2025$332.1M+10%
Q4 2024$339.3M+5.1%

DIOD's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $533M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over DIOD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DIOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.9M-30%
Q2 2026$34.8M+65%
Q1 2026$32.4M-21%
Q4 2025$12.4M-80%
Q3 2025$62.8M+60%
Q2 2025$21.1M+$24.6M
Q1 2025$40.8M+$92.4M
Q4 2024$62.1M+460%

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

DIOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-199K shares
1 year-0.4%-190K shares
3 years-0.2%-73K shares
5 years+1.3%+605K shares
Available history-11%-5.6M shares

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DIOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

DIOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic31.6Neutral

DIOD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

DIOD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDIODSector medianRelative
PE37x28x32% above
PE %703535 pts above

DIOD is trading at 37x earnings, a 32% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over DIOD on valuation relative to its sector.

DIOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.53.6% above
20 week MA$91.30.3% above
50 week MA$82.910% above
100 week MA$66.937% above
200 week MA$71.528% above

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

DIOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.6$68.4+25%
2021$68.4$107.5+57%
2022$107.5$76.8-29%
2023$76.8$80.5+4.8%
2024$80.5$64.1-20%
2025$64.1$50.4-21%
2026 YTD$50.4$91.6+82%

DIOD has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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