DINO

HF Sinclair Corporation

78
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

DINO's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 5.2x earnings, below its usual 8.7x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DINO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Strong

DINO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DINO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.7x$91.91-10%
Current5.2x$102—
Forward5.3x$102—
Fair8.6x$169+65%
Expensive22x$441+332%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DINO's PE is in its cheap range at 5.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.3x.

DINO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DINO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DINO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$152.24
Downside-14%$87.47

Calculated from the latest close: $102.15 on Nov 12.

DINO's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +49% against −14%.

DINO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.29Q1 2024: $8.07Q2 2024: $6.24Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $2.18Q4 2025: $3.08Q1 2026: $6.66Q2 2026: $10.49Q3 2026: $19.72Forward: $19.41
Q4 2023: $8.29Q1 2024: $8.07Q2 2024: $6.24Q3 2024: $1.61Q4 2024: $0.91Q1 2025: $-0.68Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $2.18Q4 2025: $3.08Q1 2026: $6.66Q2 2026: $10.49Q3 2026: $19.72Forward: $19.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.41-1.6%
Q3 2026$19.72+805%
Q2 2026$10.49+$10.86
Q1 2026$6.66+$7.34
Q4 2025$3.08+238%
Q3 2025$2.18+35%
Q2 2025-$0.37-106%
Q1 2025-$0.68-108%
Q4 2024$0.91-89%

DINO's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $19.72 over the past year, up from $2.18 the year before.

DINO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $7.8BQ3 2024: $7.2BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $10.9B
Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $7BQ2 2024: $7.8BQ3 2024: $7.2BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.3BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $10.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.9B+50%
Q2 2026$10.4B+53%
Q1 2026$7.1B+12%
Q4 2025$6.5B-0.6%
Q3 2025$7.3B+0.6%
Q2 2025$6.8B-14%
Q1 2025$6.4B-9.4%
Q4 2024$6.5B-15%

DINO's revenue is growing: $10.9B last quarter, up 50% from the same quarter a year ago.

DINO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: −$313MQ1 2025: −$175MQ2 2025: $476MQ3 2025: $688MQ4 2025: −$123MQ1 2026: $355MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $228MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: −$313MQ1 2025: −$175MQ2 2025: $476MQ3 2025: $688MQ4 2025: −$123MQ1 2026: $355MQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+139%
Q2 2026$1.4B+192%
Q1 2026$355M+$530M
Q4 2025-$123M+$190.5M
Q3 2025$688M+18%
Q2 2025$476M+236%
Q1 2025-$175M-177%
Q4 2024-$313.5M-369%

DINO generated $3.3B in free cash flow over the past year, about five times what it generated the year before.

DINO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 190MQ1 2024: 199MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 190MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 188MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 181MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 176M
Q4 2023: 190MQ1 2024: 199MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 190MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 188MQ3 2025: 186MQ4 2025: 186MQ1 2026: 181MQ2 2026: 179MQ3 2026: 176M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-3.5M shares
1 year-5.7%-10.6M shares
3 years-5.2%-9.6M shares
5 years+8.2%+13.3M shares
Available history+8%+13M shares

DINO has 176M diluted shares, down 5.7% from a year ago, with $872M in buybacks over the past year.

DINO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

DINO has more cash than debt.

DINO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic48.6Neutral

DINO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

DINO PE vs Energy Sector

MetricDINOSector medianRelative
PE5.2x13x61% below
PE %236138 pts below

DINO is trading at 5.2x earnings, a 61% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

DINO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$112.89.5% below
20 week MA$101.21% above
50 week MA$75.635% above
100 week MA$58.475% above
200 week MA$54.886% above

DINO's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 86% above its 200-week average.

DINO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.0$25.4-50%
2021$25.4$32.1+27%
2022$32.1$50.9+59%
2023$50.9$55.6+9.2%
2024$55.6$34.2-38%
2025$34.2$45.9+34%
2026 YTD$45.9$102.2+123%

DINO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 123% so far in 2026.

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