DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc.
DHI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over DHI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
DHI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
DHI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
DHI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $68.46 | -53% |
| Fair | 10x | $105 | -28% |
| Expensive | 13x | $132 | -8.8% |
| Current | 14x | $144 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $144 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DHI has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
DHI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect DHI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TSLA has the edge over DHI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
DHI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.71 | -14% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.14 | -12% |
DHI has the edge over TSLA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
DHI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.4B | -3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.2B | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.6B | -2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.9B | -9.5% |
DHI's revenue has held roughly level: $9.4B last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | N/A |
DHI has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over DHI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
DHI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $397.3M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$449.7M | +$20.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $826.6M | +31% |
DHI has the edge over TSLA in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
DHI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.1% | -6M shares |
| 1 year | -7.2% | -21.9M shares |
DHI has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $600M |
| Q1 2026 | $930.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $669.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $700M |
| Q2 2025 | $1B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
DHI spent $2.9B buying back its own shares over the past year.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
DHI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
DHI has more cash than debt.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over DHI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DHI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.0 | Neutral |
DHI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
DHI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | DHI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 21% below |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
DHI has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
DHI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $142.6 | 1.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $145.2 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $148.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $144.7 | 0.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $140.9 | 2.5% above |
DHI's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 2.5% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over DHI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
DHI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $52.9 | $71.9 | +36% |
| 2021 | $71.9 | $104.9 | +46% |
| 2022 | $104.9 | $89.2 | -15% |
| 2023 | $89.2 | $152.0 | +70% |
| 2024 | $152.0 | $140.3 | -7.7% |
| 2025 | $140.3 | $146.3 | +4.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $146.3 | $144.5 | -1.3% |
DHI has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.