DHI

D.R. Horton, Inc.

46
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

DHI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over DHI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

DHI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

DHI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DHI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.1x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.1x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$68.46-53%
Fair10x$105-28%
Expensive13x$132-8.8%
Current14x$144—
Forward17x$144—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DHI's PE is 14x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DHI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect DHI's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DHI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$176.90
Downside-19%$116.89

Calculated from the latest close: $144.45 on Nov 12.

DHI trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DHI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DHI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $11.57Q4 2025: $10.99Q1 2026: $10.65Q2 2026: $10.49Q3 2026: $10.14Forward: $8.71
Q3 2025: $11.57Q4 2025: $10.99Q1 2026: $10.65Q2 2026: $10.49Q3 2026: $10.14Forward: $8.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.71-14%
Q3 2026$10.14-12%

DHI has the edge over LCID in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

DHI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $7.6BQ1 2025: $7.7BQ2 2025: $9.2BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $9.2BQ3 2026: $9.4B
Q4 2024: $7.6BQ1 2025: $7.7BQ2 2025: $9.2BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.6BQ2 2026: $9.2BQ3 2026: $9.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.4B-3.2%
Q2 2026$9.2B0%
Q1 2026$7.6B-2.3%
Q4 2025$6.9B-9.5%

DHI's revenue has held roughly level: $9.4B last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over DHI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DHI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $633MQ1 2025: −$471MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $827MQ1 2026: −$450MQ2 2026: $397MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $633MQ1 2025: −$471MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $827MQ1 2026: −$450MQ2 2026: $397MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$397.3M-43%
Q1 2026-$449.7M+$20.8M
Q4 2025$826.6M+31%

DHI and LCID do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

DHI Total Shares

Q4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 314MQ2 2025: 305MQ3 2025: 310MQ4 2025: 293MQ1 2026: 289MQ2 2026: 283M
Q4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 314MQ2 2025: 305MQ3 2025: 310MQ4 2025: 293MQ1 2026: 289MQ2 2026: 283M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-6M shares
1 year-7.2%-21.9M shares

DHI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

DHI Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

DHI has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DHI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

DHI's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DHI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDHISector medianRelative
PE14x18x21% below
PE %964749 pts above

DHI is trading at 14x earnings, a 21% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DHI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$142.61.3% above
20 week MA$145.20.5% below
50 week MA$148.32.6% below
100 week MA$144.70.2% below
200 week MA$140.92.5% above

DHI has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

DHI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.9$71.9+36%
2021$71.9$104.9+46%
2022$104.9$89.2-15%
2023$89.2$152.0+70%
2024$152.0$140.3-7.7%
2025$140.3$146.3+4.3%
2026 YTD$146.3$144.5-1.3%

DHI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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