DGICA

Donegal Group Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score DGICA yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

DGICA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

DGICA's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like DGICA.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

DGICA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x841x1261x1682x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x841x1261x1682x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$8.91-53%
Forward9.9x$18.96—
Current11x$18.96—
Fair13x$13.85-27%
Expensive66x$72.34+282%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DGICA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

DGICA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DGICA's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over DGICA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

DGICA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $18.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare DGICA and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare DGICA and MS's risk to reward.

DGICA Earnings Per Share

Forward: $1.91
Forward: $1.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.91+74%
Q3 2021$1.10-38%
Q2 2021$1.68+7%
Q1 2021$1.98+106%
Q4 2020$1.77+7.9%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 38% for DGICA versus MS up 29%.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

DGICA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $239MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $246MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $241MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $239MQ1 2024: $241MQ2 2024: $247MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $250MQ1 2025: $245MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $246MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $241MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$237.7M-3.4%
Q2 2026$241.1M-2.4%
Q1 2026$236M-3.7%
Q4 2025$240.1M-3.9%
Q3 2025$245.9M-2.3%
Q2 2025$247.1M+0.2%
Q1 2025$245.2M+1.7%
Q4 2024$250M+4.4%

DGICA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $238M last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over DGICA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DGICA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.9M-33%
Q2 2026$5.9M-51%
Q1 2026$20.2M-22%
Q4 2025$10M-65%
Q3 2025$22.4M+75%
Q2 2025$12.1M-44%
Q1 2025$25.7M+434%
Q4 2024$28.2M+986%

DGICA has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

DGICA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+300K shares
1 year+2.1%+778K shares
3 years+13%+4.2M shares
5 years+19%+6.1M shares
Available history+30%+8.6M shares

DGICA has 37M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over DGICA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DGICA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

DGICA has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

DGICA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic48.4Neutral

DGICA's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

DGICA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricDGICASector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %466317 pts below

DGICA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

DGICA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.62.2% above
20 week MA$18.90.5% above
50 week MA$18.43% above
100 week MA$18.33.9% above
200 week MA$16.416% above

DGICA has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

DGICA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.7$14.2-3.3%
2021$14.2$14.2+0.4%
2022$14.2$14.4+0.9%
2023$14.4$14.0-2.6%
2024$14.0$15.4+10%
2025$15.4$20.1+30%
2026 YTD$20.1$19.0-5.8%

DGICA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 5.8% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over DGICA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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