DFH

Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

30
Fundamentals25/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

DFH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over DFH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

DFH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

DFH's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

DFH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.22-44%
Fair8.9x$8.44-23%
Current12x$11.01—
Expensive14x$13.01+18%
Forward392x$11.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DFH has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DFH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect DFH's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over DFH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

DFH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$13.55
Downside-57%$4.69

Calculated from the latest close: $11.01 on Nov 12.

DFH trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DFH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DFH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.03-97%
Q3 2026$0.95-67%
Q2 2026$1.42-54%
Q1 2026$1.71-49%
Q4 2025$2.14-36%
Q3 2025$2.85-5%
Q2 2025$3.08+1%
Q1 2025$3.33+15%
Q4 2024$3.34+20%

DFH has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

DFH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$996M+2.7%
Q2 2026$1.1B-7.6%
Q1 2026$887.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.2B-22%
Q3 2025$969.8M-3.7%
Q2 2025$1.2B+9%
Q1 2025$989.9M+20%
Q4 2024$1.6B+37%

DFH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $996M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over DFH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DFH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$158.5M-$22.8M
Q2 2026-$107.2M-$28.4M
Q1 2026-$54.8M-$6.9M
Q4 2025$136M-55%
Q3 2025-$135.7M+$86.8M
Q2 2025-$78.8M+$33.6M
Q1 2025-$47.9M+$201.7M
Q4 2024$302.6M+38%

DFH has burned cash in most quarters: −$185M over the past year, against $40M the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over DFH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

DFH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-714K shares
1 year-9.9%-10M shares
3 years-11%-11.4M shares
5 years-2.2%-2.1M shares
Available history-2%-1.9M shares

DFH has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DFH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.4xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

DFH's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over DFH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DFH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic41.9Neutral

DFH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

DFH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDFHSector medianRelative
PE12x18x36% below
PE %735122 pts above

DFH has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DFH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.55.3% above
20 week MA$12.915% below
50 week MA$15.227% below
100 week MA$19.544% below
200 week MA$23.152% below

DFH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over DFH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DFH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.4$19.1-11%
2022$19.1$9.50-50%
2023$9.50$35.5+274%
2024$35.5$23.2-35%
2025$23.2$17.9-23%
2026 YTD$17.9$11.0-38%

DFH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2023 to −50% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over DFH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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