DFH

Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

30
Fundamentals25/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

DFH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over DFH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

DFH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

DFH's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

DFH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.22-44%
Fair8.9x$8.44-23%
Current12x$11.01—
Expensive14x$13.01+18%
Forward392x$11.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DFH's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 392x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DFH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect DFH's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DFH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$13.55
Downside-57%$4.69

Calculated from the latest close: $11.01 on Nov 12.

DFH trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DFH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

DFH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.03-97%
Q3 2026$0.95-67%
Q2 2026$1.42-54%
Q1 2026$1.71-49%
Q4 2025$2.14-36%
Q3 2025$2.85-5%
Q2 2025$3.08+1%
Q1 2025$3.33+15%
Q4 2024$3.34+20%

DFH has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DFH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$996M+2.7%
Q2 2026$1.1B-7.6%
Q1 2026$887.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.2B-22%
Q3 2025$969.8M-3.7%
Q2 2025$1.2B+9%
Q1 2025$989.9M+20%
Q4 2024$1.6B+37%

DFH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $996M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over DFH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DFH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$158.5M-$22.8M
Q2 2026-$107.2M-$28.4M
Q1 2026-$54.8M-$6.9M
Q4 2025$136M-55%
Q3 2025-$135.7M+$86.8M
Q2 2025-$78.8M+$33.6M
Q1 2025-$47.9M+$201.7M
Q4 2024$302.6M+38%

DFH has burned cash in most quarters: −$185M over the past year, against $40M the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over DFH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

DFH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-714K shares
1 year-9.9%-10M shares
3 years-11%-11.4M shares
5 years-2.2%-2.1M shares
Available history-2%-1.9M shares

DFH has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

DFH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.4xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

DFH's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over DFH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DFH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic41.9Neutral

DFH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

DFH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDFHSector medianRelative
PE12x18x36% below
PE %735122 pts above

DFH is trading at 12x earnings, a 36% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DFH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.55.3% above
20 week MA$12.915% below
50 week MA$15.227% below
100 week MA$19.544% below
200 week MA$23.152% below

DFH has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

DFH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.4$19.1-11%
2022$19.1$9.50-50%
2023$9.50$35.5+274%
2024$35.5$23.2-35%
2025$23.2$17.9-23%
2026 YTD$17.9$11.0-38%

DFH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2023 to −50% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over DFH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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