DFH

Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

30
Fundamentals25/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

DFH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over DFH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

DFH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

DFH's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

DFH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.7x17x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$6.22-44%
Fair8.9x$8.44-23%
Current12x$11.01—
Expensive14x$13.01+18%
Forward392x$11.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DFH has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

DFH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect DFH's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

EBAY has the edge over DFH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

DFH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$13.55
Downside-57%$4.69

Calculated from the latest close: $11.01 on Nov 12.

DFH trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DFH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DFH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
Q4 2023: $2.79Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.00Q4 2024: $3.34Q1 2025: $3.33Q2 2025: $3.08Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.14Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.42Q3 2026: $0.95Forward: $0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.03-97%
Q3 2026$0.95-67%
Q2 2026$1.42-54%
Q1 2026$1.71-49%
Q4 2025$2.14-36%
Q3 2025$2.85-5%
Q2 2025$3.08+1%
Q1 2025$3.33+15%
Q4 2024$3.34+20%

DFH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.95 over the past year, against $3.34 in late 2024.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over DFH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DFH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $828MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $990MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $970MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $888MQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $996M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$996M+2.7%
Q2 2026$1.1B-7.6%
Q1 2026$887.8M-10%
Q4 2025$1.2B-22%
Q3 2025$969.8M-3.7%
Q2 2025$1.2B+9%
Q1 2025$989.9M+20%
Q4 2024$1.6B+37%

DFH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $996M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over DFH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DFH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
Q4 2023: $219MQ1 2024: −$250MQ2 2024: −$112MQ3 2024: −$223MQ4 2024: $303MQ1 2025: −$48MQ2 2025: −$79MQ3 2025: −$136MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$107MQ3 2026: −$158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$158.5M-$22.8M
Q2 2026-$107.2M-$28.4M
Q1 2026-$54.8M-$6.9M
Q4 2025$136M-55%
Q3 2025-$135.7M+$86.8M
Q2 2025-$78.8M+$33.6M
Q1 2025-$47.9M+$201.7M
Q4 2024$302.6M+38%

DFH has burned cash in most quarters: −$185M over the past year, against $40M the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over DFH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

DFH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
Q4 2023: 106MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 102MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 91M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-714K shares
1 year-9.9%-10M shares
3 years-11%-11.4M shares
5 years-2.2%-2.1M shares
Available history-2%-1.9M shares

DFH has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

DFH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 10.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.4xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

DFH's net debt is about 10 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over DFH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DFH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic41.9Neutral

DFH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

DFH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDFHSector medianRelative
PE12x18x36% below
PE %735122 pts above

DFH has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DFH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.55.3% above
20 week MA$12.915% below
50 week MA$15.227% below
100 week MA$19.544% below
200 week MA$23.152% below

DFH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over DFH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DFH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.4$19.1-11%
2022$19.1$9.50-50%
2023$9.50$35.5+274%
2024$35.5$23.2-35%
2025$23.2$17.9-23%
2026 YTD$17.9$11.0-38%

DFH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +274% in 2023 to −50% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over DFH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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