DELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

DELL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TSM has the edge over DELL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

DELL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Strong

TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

DELL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$187-50%
Forward12x$371—
Fair18x$313-16%
Current22x$371—
Expensive26x$444+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TSM PE Valuation

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DELL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.

DELL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$712.12
Downside-20%$297.69

Calculated from the latest close: $371.17 on Nov 12.

DELL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$508.50
Downside-18%$334.36

Calculated from the latest close: $405.49 on Nov 12.

TSM trails DELL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DELL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.83+74%
Q3 2026$17.19+153%
Q2 2026$12.55+100%
Q1 2026$8.68+40%
Q4 2025$7.50+33%
Q3 2025$6.80+25%
Q2 2025$6.27+28%
Q1 2025$6.22+43%
Q4 2024$5.65+55%

DELL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.19 over the past year, up 153% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

TSM Earnings Per Share

TSM and DELL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

DELL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47B+58%
Q2 2026$43.8B+88%
Q1 2026$33.4B+39%
Q4 2025$27B+11%
Q3 2025$29.8B+19%
Q2 2025$23.4B+5.1%
Q1 2025$23.9B+7.2%
Q4 2024$24.4B+9.5%

DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and DELL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

DELL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$986M-47%
Q2 2026$3.1B+40%
Q1 2026$4B+$4.1B
Q4 2025$503M-45%
Q3 2025$1.9B+184%
Q2 2025$2.2B+398%
Q1 2025-$150M-119%
Q4 2024$914M-37%

DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.

TSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and DELL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

DELL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-4M shares
1 year-5%-34M shares
3 years-12%-86M shares
5 years-58%-899M shares
Available history-56%-828M shares

DELL has the edge over TSM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+45.8K shares
1 year0%+391K shares
3 years0%+528K shares
5 years0%+324K shares
Available history0%+324K shares

TSM has 5.2B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DELL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

TSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

TSM has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DELL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

TSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

DELL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDELLSector medianRelative
PE22x28x23% below
PE %663531 pts above

DELL has the edge over TSM on valuation relative to its sector.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSMSector medianRelative
PE27x28x3.3% below
PE %453510 pts above

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DELL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$468.021% below
20 week MA$465.720% below
50 week MA$307.321% above
100 week MA$212.974% above
200 week MA$149.7148% above

DELL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 148% above its 200-week average.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$424.44.4% below
20 week MA$422.44% below
50 week MA$386.54.9% above
100 week MA$304.533% above
200 week MA$215.688% above

TSM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 88% above its 200-week average.

DELL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.8$37.0+43%
2021$37.0$55.9+51%
2022$55.9$39.1-30%
2023$39.1$76.5+96%
2024$76.5$117.3+53%
2025$117.3$129.2+10%
2026 YTD$129.2$371.2+187%

DELL has the edge over TSM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$106.0+81%
2021$106.0$120.7+14%
2022$120.7$74.9-38%
2023$74.9$104.0+39%
2024$104.0$201.6+94%
2025$201.6$302.8+50%
2026 YTD$302.8$405.5+34%

TSM has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 34% so far in 2026.

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