DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has the edge over DELL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
DELL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
DELL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $187 | -50% |
| Forward | 12x | $371 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $313 | -16% |
| Current | 22x | $371 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $444 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DELL has the edge over STX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
DELL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.
DELL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.83 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.19 | +153% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.55 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.68 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.50 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.80 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.27 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.22 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.65 | +55% |
DELL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.19 over the past year, up 153% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.06 over the past year, up 145% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
DELL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.8B | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.4B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $27B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.4B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.9B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.4B | +9.5% |
DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +0.2 points |
DELL's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX has the edge over DELL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over DELL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DELL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $986M | -47% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $4B | +$4.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $503M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +398% |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | $914M | -37% |
DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX has the edge over DELL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DELL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -34M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -58% | -899M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -828M shares |
DELL has the edge over STX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q3 2025 | $940M |
| Q2 2025 | $2B |
| Q1 2025 | $734M |
| Q4 2024 | $429M |
DELL spent $8.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 109% from the year before.
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has 232M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
DELL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DELL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.5 | Oversold |
DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
DELL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DELL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 23% below |
| PE % | 66 | 35 | 31 pts above |
DELL has the edge over STX on valuation relative to its sector.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
DELL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $468.0 | 21% below |
| 20 week MA | $465.7 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $307.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 74% above |
| 200 week MA | $149.7 | 148% above |
DELL has the edge over STX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.
DELL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.8 | $37.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $55.9 | +51% |
| 2022 | $55.9 | $39.1 | -30% |
| 2023 | $39.1 | $76.5 | +96% |
| 2024 | $76.5 | $117.3 | +53% |
| 2025 | $117.3 | $129.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $129.2 | $371.2 | +187% |
DELL has the edge over STX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +228% in 2025 to −55% in 2022. It's up 90% so far in 2026.